Match Info
Liga Placard - Round 12Date: 5 December 2025, FridayLocation: Pavilhao Centro Comunitario Caxinas (Vila do Conde)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Portugal | Canal 11 |
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Caxinas Poça da Barca |
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Famalicão |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.55 |
4.5 |
2.12 |
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 |
2.51 |
5.38 |
1.99 |
Watch |
 |
2.53 |
4.4 |
2.1 |
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 |
2.28 |
4.75 |
2.16 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.47 ↓ (2.51) |
4.76 ↓ (5.38) |
2.09 ↑ (1.99) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Caxinas Poça da Barca 37.1% | Draw 19.2% | Famalicão 43.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caxinas Poça da Barca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Famalicão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxinas Poça da Barca than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (+4.4%) 
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Lineups
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9. Bazan T.
| . Amorim G.
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27. Castela M.
| 19. Babris M.
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17. Colaco T.
| 14. Carvalho C.
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12. Correia M.
| 0. Costa J.
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6. Kiko
| 6. Douglas Risi
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4. Leo Evangelista
| 9. Gitahy A.
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10. Marcelo S.
| 12. Gomes A.
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19. Marques R.
| 99. Moreira L.
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16. Osuji D.
| 1. Pereira P.
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14. Pereira D.
| 21. Pereira R.
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22. Pontes L.
| . Rodrigues G.
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33. Sacramento T. (C)
| 10. Ruizinho (C)
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20. Sousa D.
| 0. Vieira R.
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11. Souza A.
| |
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Marques R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 30', Costa J. 🟨,
- 32', Correia M. (G), Marcelo S. (A),
- 36', Castela M. (G), Bazan T. (A),
- 37', Douglas Risi (G),
Preview
Caxinas is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).Famalicão is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Famalicão may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Caxinas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;