Match Info

Liga Placard - Round 6

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Pavilhao Centro Comunitario Caxinas (Vila do Conde)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Caxinas Poça da Barca		Ferreira do Zêzere

	1	X	2
	2.85	4.4	1.99
	2.53	4.56	2.12	Watch
	2.84	4.3	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.53)	4.42 ↓ (4.56)	2.03 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caxinas Poça da Barca
33.6%

Draw
20.9%

Ferreira do Zêzere
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

20.2%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

23%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caxinas Poça da Barca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Ferreira do Zêzere has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxinas Poça da Barca than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caxinas Poça da Barca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferreira do Zêzere than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferreira do Zêzere, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Sacramento T. (G)	13. Nilton (G)
12. Correia M.	30. Alves O.
21. Dorda M.	36. Chapinha
4. Leo Evangelista	18. Chico
19. Marques R.	5. Monteiro R.
Substitutes
9. Bazan T.	19. Aguiar L.
27. Castela M.	9. Bento T.
20. Gabriel R.	11. Cambangula J.
6. Kiko	92. Cavalcante D.
1. Pedro R. (G)	20. Daniel Sodre
14. Pereira D.	7. Fortes R.
22. Pontes L. (G)	12. Leal G. (G)
7. Simao R.	1. Martinho P. (G)
. Sousa D.	8. Silva R.
11. Souza A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
2', Chico (G),
3', Chico (G),
5', Daniel Sodre (G),
2nd Half (3 - 3)
26', Monteiro R. (G),
27', Souza A. 🟨,
29', Correia M. (G),
29', Monteiro R. 🟨,
30', Correia M. (G),
32', Pontes L. 🟨,
33', Aguiar L. (Own Goal),
34', Silva R. (G),
36', Cavalcante D. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caxinas won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Caxinas won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 2.6:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Caxinas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 2.3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caxinas Poça da Barca
Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
11.10.25	Rio Ave - Caxinas Poça da Barca	5:1 ✺
03.10.25	Caxinas Poça da Barca - Braga AAUM	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Torreense - Caxinas Poça da Barca	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Caxinas Poça da Barca - Leões	0:5 ✺
07.09.25	Famalicão - Caxinas Poça da Barca	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLWLW
- SC Ferreira do Zêzere Futsal
Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
11.10.25	Ferreira do Zêzere - Fundão	4:1 ✺
04.10.25	Sporting Lisbon - Ferreira do Zêzere	5:0 ✺
29.09.25	Ferreira do Zêzere - Benfica	2:6 ✺
13.09.25	Ferreira do Zêzere - Quinta dos Lombos	6:1 ✺
06.09.25	Rio Ave - Ferreira do Zêzere	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
05.04.25	Ferreira do Zêzere - Caxinas Poça da Barca	5:3
23.11.24	Caxinas Poça da Barca - Ferreira do Zêzere	1:2
Taca de Portugal Futsal
27.03.24	Ferreira do Zêzere - Caxinas Poça da Barca	1:4
Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
17.03.24	Caxinas Poça da Barca - Ferreira do Zêzere	3:3
04.11.23	Ferreira do Zêzere - Caxinas Poça da Barca	2:2
11.03.23	Caxinas Poça da Barca - Ferreira do Zêzere	3:2
12.11.22	Ferreira do Zêzere - Caxinas Poça da Barca	2:2

Caxinas Poça da Barca - Ferreira do Zêzere: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide