Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Placard - Round 11

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Pavilhao Centro Comunitario Caxinas (Vila do Conde)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Caxinas Poça da Barca		Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.75	2.75
	1.78	4.8	3.25
	1.75	5.39	3.1
	1.75	4.8	3.1
	1.73	4.55	3.36
	1.78	4.8	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.75)	4.85 ↑ (4.74)	3.14 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Caxinas Poça da Barca
52.1%

Draw
18.8%

Lusitânia
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

19.2%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

19.9%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caxinas Poça da Barca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxinas Poça da Barca than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Caxinas Poça da Barca - Lusitânia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Sacramento T. (C)	13. Nilton (G)
8. Alves T.	8. Cadu
14. Cuello J.	4. Leo Evangelista (C)
21. Dorda M.	47. Neto L.
10. Marcelo S.	88. Silva S.
Substitutes
25. Campos M.	12. Faustino E.
37. Castela M.	2. Ficher F.
20. Colaco T.	99. Gomes R.
17. Marques P.	3. Nolte H.
19. Marques R.	17. Rosa H.
5. Moreira E.	21. Sales P. S.
1. Pedro R. (G)	5. Soares F.
38. Pereira D.	10. Travessa L.
7. Simao R.	7. Welinton Oliveira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Neto L. (G),
2nd Half (4 - 2)
27', Silva S. (G),
30', Dorda M. (G),
34', Cuello J. (G),
35', Dorda M. (G),
35', Dorda M. 🟨,
39', Marcelo S. (G),
40', (G),

Preview

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Lusitânia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Caxinas will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caxinas Poça da Barca
Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
29.12.24	Eléctrico - Caxinas Poça da Barca	3:3 ✺
Taca de Portugal Futsal
22.12.24	Caxinas Poça da Barca - Sporting Lisbon	1:3 ✺
Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
07.12.24	Caxinas Poça da Barca - Braga AAUM	2:5 ✺
30.11.24	Sanjoanense - Caxinas Poça da Barca	1:3 ✺
23.11.24	Caxinas Poça da Barca - Ferreira do Zêzere	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLLWL
- SC Lusitânia Futsal
Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
07.01.25	Lusitânia - Braga AAUM	0:3 ✺
03.01.25	Lusitânia - Eléctrico	7:4 ✺
Taca de Portugal Futsal
17.12.24	Lusitânia - Ferreira do Zêzere	1:4 ✺
Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
07.12.24	Torreense - Lusitânia	4:2 ✺
04.12.24	Sporting Lisbon - Lusitânia	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLLL

Caxinas Poça da Barca - Lusitânia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide