The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Corinthians Paulista 55.6%
Draw 20.5%
Minas 23.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.2%
19.4%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
80.5%
28.8%
17.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians Paulista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Minas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians Paulista than the current prediction. (+24.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthians Paulista, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minas than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Minas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Corinthians Paulista - Minas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
3. Lucas Oliveira (C)
1. Anderson (G)
14. Lucas Martins
31. Gabriel Farina
31. Michael d. O.
12. Higo dos Santos
21. Renatinho
17. Maia
11. Rick
21. Raul
Substitutes
86. Bonfim De Souza U.
35. Alexandre Pintinho (C)
20. Caio Barros
33. Gabriel
99. Da Bonja
4. Henrique F.
85. Davi
9. Lucas Silva
19. Fabinho
7. Marco Tulio (G)
12. Igor Bredof
44. Mineiro
78. Kaio L.
51. Paje
2. Kelvin Siqueira (G)
22. Thalisson (G)
34. Paiva V.
5. Willian
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
29', Rick (G),
34', Da Bonja (G),
35', Raul (G),
37', Fabinho (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians Paulista won 2.
Corinthians Paulista is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Minas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Minas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Corinthians Paulista is seen as the favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Corinthians Paulista won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:20. (average 2.9:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians Paulista won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 3.4:2).