Match Info

HMNL - Round 8

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	Crnica		Vrgorac

	1	X	2
	1.71	4.9	3.3
	1.73	6.00	2.93	Watch
	1.71	4.75	3.28
	1.71	5.5	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.73)	5.29 ↓ (6)	3.1 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crnica
53.3%

Draw
17.3%

Vrgorac
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

15.3%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

14.4%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crnica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Vrgorac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crnica than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vrgorac than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Crnica - Vrgorac Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Vrgorac may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Crnica will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crnica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 2.8:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Crnica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 4.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MNK Crnica
Croatian 1 HMNL
29.11.25	Olmissum - Crnica	4:2 ✺
22.11.25	Crnica - Osijek	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Crnica - Torcida Split	3:6 ✺
07.11.25	Futsal Dinamo - Crnica	5:0 ✺
25.10.25	Crnica - Novo Vrijeme Makarska	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLLW
- HMNK Vrgorac
Croatian 1 HMNL
28.11.25	Vrgorac - Futsal Dinamo	3:3 ✺
23.11.25	Novo Vrijeme Makarska - Vrgorac	5:2 ✺
16.11.25	Vrgorac - Square Dubrovnik	3:3 ✺
07.11.25	Rijeka - Vrgorac	5:4 ✺
25.10.25	Vrgorac - Pula	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian 1 HMNL
23.01.24	Crnica - Vrgorac	5:4
14.10.23	Vrgorac - Crnica	5:2
20.01.23	Vrgorac - Crnica	3:2
01.10.22	Crnica - Vrgorac	4:1
04.03.22	Vrgorac - Crnica	4:1

Crnica - Vrgorac: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide