Match Info

Liga Placard - Round 21

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Pavilhão Gimnodesportivo de Ponte de Sor (Ponte de Sor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Eléctrico		Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	1.34	6.4	5.6
	1.35	6.95	5.17
	1.24	7.1	6.75	Watch
	1.34	6.4	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.33)	6.71 ↑ (6.61)	5.78 ↑ (5.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eléctrico
70.2%

Draw
13.8%

Lusitânia
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

14%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.1%

13.4%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eléctrico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eléctrico than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Eléctrico - Lusitânia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Basilio D.	29. Murilo
19. Costa J.	47. Neto L.
5. Ferrugem (C)	17. Rosa H.
33. Sousa T.	21. Sales P. S.
23. Thiaguinho	7. Welinton Oliveira
Substitutes
13. Alexandre	3. Ficher F.
11. Dias M.	72. Gomes R.
18. Dias M.	5. Gusmao A.
17. Fernandinho	99. Matheusinho
6. Martins D.	77. Mendonca Tavares T. A.
9. Miguel N.	12. Paganini E.
10. Nogueira F.	88. Silva S. (C)
15. Prates F.	10. Travessa L.
22. Simoes M.	11. Viveiros R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 0)
7', Nogueira F. (G),
13', Costa J. (G), Thiaguinho (A),
14', Sousa T. (G), Nogueira F. (A),
14', Sousa T. (G),
16', Costa J. (G),
19', Sales P. S. 🟨,
19', Dias M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
24', Costa J. (G), Nogueira F. (A),
33', Welinton Oliveira (G),
38', Rosa H. (G), Neto L. (A),

Preview

In recent matches, Eléctrico has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lusitânia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Eléctrico is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Eléctrico will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Eléctrico won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eléctrico Futsal
Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
26.04.25	Sporting Lisbon - Eléctrico	3:3 ✺
19.04.25	Eléctrico - Braga AAUM	4:3 ✺
05.04.25	Sanjoanense - Eléctrico	2:2 ✺
22.03.25	Eléctrico - Ferreira do Zêzere	4:1 ✺
14.03.25	Quinta dos Lombos - Eléctrico	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.1 TWTWL
- SC Lusitânia Futsal
Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
26.04.25	Lusitânia - Torreense	4:3 ✺
19.04.25	Lusitânia - Sporting Lisbon	2:8 ✺
04.04.25	Braga AAUM - Lusitânia	8:0 ✺
22.03.25	Lusitânia - Sanjoanense	4:4 ✺
16.03.25	Ferreira do Zêzere - Lusitânia	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
03.01.25	Lusitânia - Eléctrico	7:4

Eléctrico - Lusitânia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide