The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fortitudo Pomezia 50.3%
Draw 18.1%
Pesarofano 31.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.3%
18%
31.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.2%
25.5%
22.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Fortitudo Pomezia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Pesarofano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortitudo Pomezia than the current prediction. (+20.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortitudo Pomezia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pesarofano than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pesarofano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fortitudo Pomezia - Pesarofano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4
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Lineups
14. Angelo M.
10. Badahi M.
11. Bueno L.
24. Barichello M.
17. Cutrignelli N.
3. Frontino F. G.
16. Cutrupi C.
7. Galliani P.
30. Dudu
6. Gastaldo E.
12. Gattarelli A.
88. Manservigi L.
4. Gattarelli D.
17. Petrucci A.
9. Lopes L.
2. Ricordi E.
5. Mentasti G.
65. Saponara A.
22. Molitierno F.
19. Taurisano A.
18. Raubo M.
5. Tonidandel F.
10. Tiaguinho
8. Wittig C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2', Dudu 🟨,
11', Badahi M. 🟨,
20', Dudu (G),
20', Saponara A. 🟨,
20', Barichello M. (G),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
31', Barichello M. 🟨,
31', Angelo M. 🟨,
31', Angelo M. (G),
39', Gattarelli D. (G),
Preview
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Pesaro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Fortitudo Pomezia will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Fortitudo Pomezia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:15 (average 3:3.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Fortitudo Pomezia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:4 (average 2.5:2).