Match Info

UEFA Futsal Euro - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Arena Stožice (Ljubljana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Brazil	Disney+
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Poland	TVP Sport
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	RTVE Play


	France		Portugal

	1	X	2
	6	6	1.29
	6.8	6.2	1.28
	4.62	5.57	1.44	Watch
	7.23	6.25	1.28
	6	6	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.13 ↑ (4.62)	6 ↑ (5.57)	1.31 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

France
15%

Draw
15.3%

Portugal
69.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.9%

16.5%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

15.2%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

France has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Portugal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portugal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for France than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portugal than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

France - Portugal Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Portugal will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Portugal (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Portugal will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Portugal (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lokoka F. (G)	12. Paco B. (G)
14. Guirio O.	10. Coelho B. (C)
11. Mouhoudine S. (C)	8. Mendonca E.
5. Tchaptchet A.	3. Paco T.
20. Toure M.	11. Varela P.
Substitutes
22. Benslama A.	13. Brito T.
16. Durot J. (G)	2. Coelho A.
3. Gueddoura A.	1. Edu (G)
12. Marquet L. (G)	5. Gois R.
15. Menendez N.	4. Jesus A.
19. Rezzoug M.	6. Kutchy
13. Toure M.	14. Pauleta
	7. Rocha L.
	9. Santos D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', Toure M. (G),
11', Rezzoug M. 🟨,
18', Santos D. (G),
19', Paco T. (G),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
23', Tchaptchet A. 🟨,
26', Brito T. 🟨,
29', Mendonca E. (G),
31', Mouhoudine S. 🟨,
34', Toure M. 🟨,
34:07, Gueddoura A. (Own Goal),

Preview

France is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Portugal is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

France may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Portugal is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, France won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 2:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- France futsal
UEFA Futsal Euro
31.01.26	France - Ukraine	4:2 OT ✺
28.01.26	Georgia - France	1:3 ✺
25.01.26	France - Latvia	5:0 ✺
21.01.26	Croatia - France	2:2 ✺
Friendly International Futsal
15.01.26	France - Belgium	5:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWTT
- Portugal futsal
UEFA Futsal Euro
01.02.26	Portugal - Belgium	8:2 ✺
29.01.26	Portugal - Poland	3:2 ✺
27.01.26	Hungary - Portugal	1:5 ✺
24.01.26	Italy - Portugal	2:6 ✺
Friendly International Futsal
18.01.26	Portugal - Bosnia and Herzegovina	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Futsal
04.12.19	France - Portugal	3:4
03.12.19	France - Portugal	1:2

France - Portugal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide