Match Info

Liga Placard - Round 5

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão Municipal do Fundão (Fundão)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Fundão		Benfica

	1	X	2
	3.30	5.50	1.48
	4.40	6.00	1.37
	5.00	5.90	1.39	Watch
	4.52	6.10	1.40
	4.50	6.20	1.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↑ (3.87)	5.94 ↑ (5.9)	1.41 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fundão
20.8%

Draw
15.2%

Benfica
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

15.3%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

19.3%

77.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fundão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fundão than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benfica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fundão - Benfica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Gaza (G)	22. Leo Gugiel (G)
17. Freitas M. (C)	8. Coelho A.
47. Neto L.	2. Ferreira S.
12. Peleh	4. Jesus A. (C)
6. Uesler	14. Kutchy E.
Substitutes
13. Aguiar L.	5. Almeida D.
11. Almeida R.	10. Arthur
24. Borrego M. (G)	17. Carlinhos
9. Job E.	77. Cleber
77. Mendonca Tavares T. A.	19. Gois R.
60. Miguel Indau Correia L.	6. Moreira R.
10. Miranda N.	7. Rocha L.
27. Nem	18. Varela P.
	16. Vasco Pinto

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Carlinhos 🟨,
7', Peleh (G), Almeida R. (A),
16', Peleh 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
26', Miguel Indau Correia L. 🟨,
29', Varela P. (G),
31', Ferreira S. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fundão won 0.

Fundão is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Benfica have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this matchup, Benfica is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Fundão has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 17 losses, with a goal aggregate of 46:93 (averaging 2.3:4.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Fundão against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 8 losses, with 19:48 goals (averaging 2.1:5.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Fundao	6	4	0	2	18:18	12
3	Benfica	5	3	2	0	17:9	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD do Fundão
Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
04.10.26	Portimonense - Fundão	5:6 ✺
28.09.26	Fundão - Venda Nova	4:1 ✺
21.09.26	Ferreira do Zêzere - Fundão	1:4 ✺
16.09.26	Sporting Lisbon - Fundão	7:0 ✺
11.09.26	Fundão - Braga AAUM	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWLW
- Benfica Futsal
Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
03.10.26	Benfica - Leões	6:2 ✺
27.09.26	Sporting Lisbon - Benfica	3:3 ✺
19.09.26	Portimonense - Benfica	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Benfica - Venda Nova	4:1 ✺
Portuguese Supertaca de Futsal
05.09.26	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
28.02.26	Benfica - Fundão	6:4
25.10.25	Fundão - Benfica	2:7
16.03.25	Fundão - Benfica	4:7
09.11.24	Benfica - Fundão	1:0
21.04.24	Fundão - Benfica	1:7
Taca de Portugal Futsal
27.01.24	Benfica - Fundão	2:1
Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
22.11.23	Benfica - Fundão	6:0

Fundão - Benfica: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide