Match Info

Liga Placard - Round 12

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão Municipal do Fundão (Fundão)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Fundão		Leões

	1	X	2
	3.7	5	1.61
	3.33	5.87	1.62	Watch
	3.68	4.85	1.61
	3.6	5	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (3.33)	5.18 ↓ (5.87)	1.61 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fundão
25.5%

Draw
17.6%

Leões
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

15.7%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

13.2%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fundão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Leões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fundão than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fundão, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leões than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leões, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fundão - Leões Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Arthur J. (G)	0. Prazeres R. (G)
9. Chino	6. Alves Carrilho R. F.
10. Marques P.	11. Fortes A.
8. Sissi	13. Hiroshi R.
6. Uesler	10. Silvestre R.
Substitutes
	5. Dzyalochynsky A.
	24. Furtado I.
	0. Injai L.
	47. Neto L.
	29. Rodrigues H.
	7. Sa B.
	3. Sousa A. (G)
	17. Teixeira R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', Welinton Oliveira 🟨,
11', Teixeira R. (G),
12', Arthur J. (G),
19', Neto L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
21', Silvestre R. (G),
23', Sissi (G),
33', Freitas M. (G),
33', Alves Carrilho R. F. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fundão won 0.

Fundão is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Leões is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Fundão may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Leões is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fundão won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 53:65. (average 2.7:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fundão won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:37. (average 3:3.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD do Fundão
Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
29.11.25	Fundão - Famalicão	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Eléctrico - Fundão	2:2 ✺
17.11.25	Fundão - Caxinas Poça da Barca	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Fundão - Quinta dos Lombos	4:1 ✺
05.11.25	Sporting Lisbon - Fundão	8:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WTWWL
- CR Leões de Porto Salvo
Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
29.11.25	Sporting Lisbon - Leões	6:3 ✺
18.11.25	Leões - Benfica	1:2 ✺
14.11.25	Ferreira do Zêzere - Leões	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Leões - Rio Ave	2:5 ✺
01.11.25	Braga AAUM - Leões	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
06.09.25	Leões - Fundão	6:1
05.04.25	Leões - Fundão	5:1
23.11.24	Fundão - Leões	2:3
24.02.24	Fundão - Leões	2:2
21.10.23	Leões - Fundão	2:2
12.03.23	Leões - Fundão	4:0
12.11.22	Fundão - Leões	1:4

Fundão - Leões: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide