Match Info
Serie A - Round 25Date: 3 April 2026, Friday
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Genova |
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Capurso |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Genova 25.5% | Draw 17.4% | Capurso 57% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Capurso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genova than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capurso than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Capurso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Genova - Capurso Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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95. Politano L. (G)
| 31. Micoli G. (G)
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11. Babris M.
| 88. Grandinetti G.
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10. Boutabouzi J.
| 12. Lamas N.
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8. Murilo J.
| 11. Perri J.
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4. Ortisi A.
| 7. Pires G.
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| Substitutes |
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17. Adamopoulos A.
| 10. Dammacco V.
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18. Baklanov A.
| 8. Garofalo B.
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5. Bevegni F.
| 20. Giannattasio D.
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. D'Atri N.
| 30. Guedes P.
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12. Di Tomaso N.
| 9. Ique
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19. Ugas J.
| 1. Lisco C. (G)
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. Valentini T.
| 19. Primavera N.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', Murilo J. (G),
- 2', Grandinetti G. (G),
- 19', Guedes P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 22', Boutabouzi J. 🟨,
- 28', Pires G. (G),
- 36', Baklanov A. (G),
- 40', Babris M. (G),
Preview
Genova has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Capurso is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4). In this match, Capurso is seen as the favorite.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Genova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
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| 11 | Capurso | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22:33 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;