Match Info
Serie A - Round 11Date: 5 December 2025, Friday
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 |
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Genova |
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Genzano |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Genova 17.9% | Draw 17% | Genzano 65.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Genzano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genova than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genzano than the current prediction. (+2.1%)Genova - Genzano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
95. Politano L. (G)
| 1. Mammarella S. (G)
|
10. Boutabouzi J.
| 29. Canal M.
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19. Murilo J.
| 11. De Oliveira J.
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4. Ortisi A.
| 77. Micheletto L.
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44. Ricci F.
| 14. Taborda P.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
18. Baklanov A.
| 24. Barichello M.
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11. Da Silva G.
| 8. Barra F.
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12. Di Tomaso N.
| 12. Di Ponto E. (G)
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20. Guga
| 6. Gastaldo E.
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9. Maltauro A.
| 19. Mohabz
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6. Spadafora F.
| 10. Nem
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7. Ugas J.
| 5. Tonidandel F.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', Gastaldo E. 🟨,
- 8', Ortisi A. (G),
- 16', Maltauro A. (G),
- 18', Da Silva G. 🟨,
- 19', Barra F. (G),
- 2nd Half (1 - 4)
- 22', De Oliveira J. (G),
- 22', Ortisi A. (G),
- 25', Mohabz (G),
- 30', Canal M. 🟨,
- 32', Taborda P. (G),
- 36', Maltauro A. 🟥,
- 39', Mammarella S. (G),
Preview
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.Genzano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Genzano is seen as the favorite. The teams have not played against each other recently.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;