Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 6

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Stowarzyszenie Rekreacyjno (Ruda Śląska)


	Gwiazda Ruda Śląska		AZS UŚ Katowice

	1	X	2
	1.98	4.7	2.75
	2	4.73	2.79
	1.91	4.5	2.7
	1.87	4.55	2.94
	1.98	4.7	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.9)	4.64 ↓ (4.71)	2.79 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gwiazda Ruda Śląska
47.2%

Draw
19.8%

AZS UŚ Katowice
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

19.7%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

19.2%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gwiazda Ruda Śląska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

AZS UŚ Katowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwiazda Ruda Śląska than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZS UŚ Katowice than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Gwiazda Ruda Śląska - AZS UŚ Katowice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Mieszczanin P. (G)	23. Barteczka D. (G)
11. Luszczek S.	13. Blaszczyk P.
17. Setti F.	5. Lutecki T.
21. Siadul B.	10. Smialkowski D.
37. Sroda D.	20. Wilk D.
Substitutes
91. Brzyski J. (G)	1. Burzej K. (G)
70. Dani	80. Jastrzembski M.
10. Dynek M.	11. Kravets M.
14. Jonczyk A.	14. Krol M.
99. Mazur M.	92. Lapa S.
5. Molina F.	9. Poplawski A.
20. Podobinski K.	31. Sobecko D.
77. Skrzypinski K.	77. Widuch P.
8. Torres C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', Krol M. (G),
9', Widuch P. (G),
20', Jonczyk A. (G),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
21', Luszczek S. (G),
23', Dani 🟨,
26', Wilk D. 🟨,
29', Dani 🟨,
31', Wilk D. (G),
33', Poplawski A. (G),
35', Smialkowski D. 🟨,
37', Mazur M. 🟨,
37', Sroda D. 🟨,
38', Wilk D. 🟨,
40', Setti F. (G),
40', Luszczek S. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Gwiazda Ruda Śląska is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Katowice is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gwiazda Ruda Śląska could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gwiazda Ruda Śląska will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gwiazda Ruda Śląska won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:11 (average 1.5:5.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Gwiazda Ruda Śląska won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gwiazda Ruda Śląska
Polish Ekstraklasa Futsal
09.10.24	Lubawa - Gwiazda Ruda Śląska	5:4 ✺
06.10.24	Gwiazda Ruda Śląska - Wilanów	4:1 ✺
28.09.24	Przemyśl - Gwiazda Ruda Śląska	5:2 ✺
21.09.24	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Gwiazda Ruda Śląska	7:2 ✺
07.09.24	Gwiazda Ruda Śląska - Red Devils Chojnice	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLLW
- AZS UŚ Katowice
Polish Ekstraklasa Futsal
09.10.24	AZS UŚ Katowice - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	0:4 ✺
06.10.24	Odra Opole - AZS UŚ Katowice	4:0 ✺
29.09.24	AZS UŚ Katowice - Piast Gliwice	0:5 ✺
07.09.24	Kamienica Królewska - AZS UŚ Katowice	8:0 ✺
31.08.24	AZS UŚ Katowice - Red Dragons Pniewy	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Futsal
08.12.19	AZS UŚ Katowice - Gwiazda Ruda Śląska	4:2
05.03.16	Gwiazda Ruda Śląska - AZS UŚ Katowice	1:7

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