Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 10

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Stowarzyszenie Rekreacyjno (Ruda Śląska)


	Gwiazda Ruda Śląska		Bochnia

	1	X	2
	3.6	4.6	1.7
	3.67	4.66	1.72	Watch
	3.5	4.5	1.67
	3.47	4.8	1.67
	3.6	4.6	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (2.76)	4.63 ↑ (4.42)	1.69 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gwiazda Ruda Śląska
25.8%

Draw
19.9%

Bochnia
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

20.7%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

18.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gwiazda Ruda Śląska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gwiazda Ruda Śląska's form might have worsened.

Bochnia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bochnia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwiazda Ruda Śląska than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gwiazda Ruda Śląska, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bochnia than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bochnia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gwiazda Ruda Śląska - Bochnia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Mieszczanin P. (G)	21. Saaf V. (G)
14. Jonczyk A.	81. Budzyn A.
11. Luszczek S.	7. Cabalceta M.
5. Molina F.	4. Pikkarainen T.
17. Setti F.	6. Prokop M.
Substitutes
91. Brzyski J. (G)	32. Aksamit R. (G)
70. Dani	97. Carvalho M. A.
89. Grzywaczewski P.	5. Doroszkiewicz W.
9. Malek M.	13. Dosa M.
99. Mazur M.	8. Matras P.
20. Podobinski K.	17. Wolnik I.
21. Siadul B.
37. Sroda D.
8. Torres C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
2', Budzyn A. 🟨,
2', Setti F. (G),
8', Doroszkiewicz W. (G),
12', Pikkarainen T. (G),
19', Doroszkiewicz W. (G),
2nd Half (1 - 5)
22', Matras P. (G),
26', Carvalho M. A. (G),
30', Pikkarainen T. (G),
32', Cabalceta M. (G),
34', Jonczyk A. (G),
36', Carvalho M. A. (G),

Preview

Ruda Śląska is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bochnia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bochnia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bochnia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gwiazda Ruda Śląska
Polish Ekstraklasa Futsal
02.11.24	Widzew Łódź - Gwiazda Ruda Śląska	3:5 ✺
27.10.24	Gwiazda Ruda Śląska - Legia Warsaw	3:6 ✺
20.10.24	Futsal Leszno - Gwiazda Ruda Śląska	4:2 ✺
13.10.24	Gwiazda Ruda Śląska - AZS UŚ Katowice	3:4 ✺
09.10.24	Lubawa - Gwiazda Ruda Śląska	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLLL
- BSF ABJ Bochnia
Polish Ekstraklasa Futsal
02.11.24	Bochnia - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2:2 ✺
26.10.24	Odra Opole - Bochnia	4:2 ✺
19.10.24	Bochnia - Piast Gliwice	1:6 ✺
13.10.24	Kamienica Królewska - Bochnia	2:2 ✺
09.10.24	Bochnia - Red Dragons Pniewy	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TLLTW

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