Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 26

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Stowarzyszenie Rekreacyjno (Ruda Śląska)


	Gwiazda Ruda Śląska		Red Dragons Pniewy

	1	X	2
	2.08	4.6	2.65
	1.98	5.21	2.6	Watch
	2.05	4.5	2.6
	2.04	4.4	2.65
	2.08	4.6	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.56)	4.66 ↓ (4.7)	2.63 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gwiazda Ruda Śląska
45.1%

Draw
19.8%

Red Dragons Pniewy
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

19.8%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

20.7%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gwiazda Ruda Śląska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gwiazda Ruda Śląska's performance.

Red Dragons Pniewy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Red Dragons Pniewy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwiazda Ruda Śląska than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gwiazda Ruda Śląska that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Dragons Pniewy than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Red Dragons Pniewy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gwiazda Ruda Śląska - Red Dragons Pniewy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Mieszczanin P. (G)	4. Blaszcyk L.
18. Alcibar S.	23. Blaszyk P.
89. Grzywaczewski P.	13. Holy P.
17. Setti F.	9. Kostecki M.
8. Torres C.	7. Kozak A.
Substitutes
24. Bik O. (G)	26. De Sousa R.
10. Dynek M.	12. Kagmierski B.
14. Jonczyk A.	8. Klatkiewicz H.
11. Luszczek S.	6. Krajewski N.
9. Malek M.	19. Malycha M. (G)
81. Miozga K.	15. Siuda O.
20. Podobinski K.	14. Tubau R.
21. Siadul B.
37. Sroda D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Setti F. 🟨,
13', Grzywaczewski P. (G),
2nd Half (1 - 4)
21', Kozak A. 🟨,
22', Kostecki M. (G),
25', Dynek M. 🟨,
27', Kostecki M. (G),
27', Tubau R. (G),
29', Setti F. 🟨,
32', Podobinski K. 🟨,
32', Luszczek S. 🟨,
36', Tubau R. 🟨,
37', Blaszyk P. 🟨,
37', Alcibar S. (Pen),
40', Kostecki M. (Pen),

Preview

Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ruda Śląska won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:6 (average 2.5:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Ruda Śląska won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gwiazda Ruda Śląska
Polish Ekstraklasa Futsal
05.04.25	Gwiazda Ruda Śląska - Piast Gliwice	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Kamienica Królewska - Gwiazda Ruda Śląska	9:3 ✺
15.03.25	Bochnia - Gwiazda Ruda Śląska	9:7 ✺
01.03.25	Gwiazda Ruda Śląska - Widzew Łódź	5:7 ✺
Polish Cup Futsal
26.02.25	Bochnia - Gwiazda Ruda Śląska	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Red Dragons Pniewy
Polish Ekstraklasa Futsal
05.04.25	Przemyśl - Red Dragons Pniewy	4:3 ✺
30.03.25	Red Dragons Pniewy - Red Devils Chojnice	3:4 ✺
15.03.25	Red Dragons Pniewy - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2:8 ✺
01.03.25	Odra Opole - Red Dragons Pniewy	8:2 ✺
24.02.25	Red Dragons Pniewy - Piast Gliwice	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Futsal
16.11.24	Red Dragons Pniewy - Gwiazda Ruda Śląska	3:2
14.10.19	Gwiazda Ruda Śląska - Red Dragons Pniewy	3:3

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