Match Info

LNF - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Arena Jaragua (Jaragua do Sul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	BandSports


	Jaraguá		Joinville

	1	X	2
	1.64	4.7	3.8	Watch
	1.82	4.67	3.13	Watch
	1.62	4.55	3.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.82)	4.64 ↓ (4.67)	3.58 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jaraguá
54.4%

Draw
19.9%

Joinville
25.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.7%

19.8%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

20.5%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaraguá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Joinville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaraguá than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaraguá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Jaraguá - Joinville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Nicolas Souza (G)	1. Matheus (G)
26. Dias B.	5. Eder Lima
8. Leco	90. Kevin Farias
32. Ruan Alflen	14. Lucas Farias
9. Yan de Deus	83. Robinho
Substitutes
7. Bruninho	10. Dieguinho
19. Di Fanti (G)	8. Ernani
14. Eka	17. Fernando
10. Jamur	77. Lucas Boeira
92. Jhonnas	23. Neto S.
88. Marcenio	25. Pato (G)
28. Nenen Ribeiro	19. Pedro Rei
5. Pedrinho	7. Roni
2. Tatinho	20. Xuxa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', Eder Lima 🟨,
3', Kevin Farias 🟨,
5', Bruninho (G),
13', Marcenio (G),
13', Nicolas Souza 🟨,
18', Eka (G),
20', Dieguinho 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
23', Ernani (G),
24', Nicolas Souza (G),

Preview

1st leg result: 4-1. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaraguá won 3.

Jaraguá has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Joinville has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jaraguá will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Jaraguá won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 2.4:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Jaraguá won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 2.3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADJ Jaraguá
Brazilian Liga Futsal
03.11.25	Joinville - Jaraguá	1:4 ✺
25.10.25	Jaraguá - Minas	3:1 ✺
16.10.25	Minas - Jaraguá	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Jaraguá - Cruzeiro	9:0 ✺
22.09.25	Dracena - Jaraguá	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWTWW
- Joinville Futsal
Brazilian Liga Futsal
03.11.25	Joinville - Jaraguá	1:4 ✺
23.10.25	Joinville - Vélez Camaquã	2:2 ✺
15.10.25	Vélez Camaquã - Joinville	2:3 ✺
27.09.25	Magnus - Joinville	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Joinville - Praia Clube	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Liga Futsal
03.11.25	Joinville - Jaraguá	1:4
13.09.25	Jaraguá - Joinville	4:2
25.08.24	Joinville - Jaraguá	4:3
02.09.23	Jaraguá - Joinville	4:2
15.08.22	Joinville - Jaraguá	2:1
05.07.19	Jaraguá - Joinville	1:3
15.07.16	Joinville - Jaraguá	3:1

Jaraguá - Joinville: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide