Match Info

BRAZIL: LNF - Round 15

Date: 14 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Arena Jaragua (Jaragua do Sul)


	Jaraguá		Marreco

	1	X	2
	1.35	5.5	4.75
	1.4	5.5	4.65	Watch
	1.44	5.65	4.8	Watch
	1.3	5.8	5
	1.27	6.6	6.4	Watch
	1.35	6.2	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.38)	5.88 ↑ (5.69)	5.17 ↑ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaraguá
67%

Draw
15.4%

Marreco
17.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.4%

15.9%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

15.7%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaraguá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Marreco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaraguá than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marreco than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Jaraguá - Marreco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Nicolas (G)	30. Jaime Arthur (G)
3. Felipe	29. Duio
99. Jean Gaucho	95. Leo Brum
8. Leco	25. Matheus Gonzalez
23. Thierry	33. Ronald
Substitutes
7. Bruninho	13. Andre
14. Eka	20. Athirson Silva
6. Galiotto	10. Canhoto
30. Guilherme	9. Fabio Cavalcante
88. Marcenio	18. Lucas Schwartz
28. Nenen Ribeiro	15. Meleca
5. Pedrinho	55. Murilo
31. Valenga (G)	5. Nefi
9. Yan	12. Rafael Cruz (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', Jean Gaucho (G),
17', Felipe 🟨,
19', Ronald (G),
20', Ronald 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
24', Matheus Gonzalez 🟨,
26', Yan (G),
30', Marcenio (G),
38', Felipe (G),
40', Leo Brum 🟥,
40', Eka (G),

Preview

Jaraguá in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Marreco is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Jaraguá is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Jaraguá to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jaraguá won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Jaraguá won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADJ Jaraguá
Brazilian Liga Futsal
07.07.24	Minas - Jaraguá	3:6 ✺
28.06.24	Jaraguá - Futuro	3:2 ✺
21.06.24	Tubarão - Jaraguá	2:3 ✺
15.06.24	Jaraguá - Blumenau	2:1 ✺
08.06.24	São Lourenço - Jaraguá	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWW
- Marreco Futsal
Brazilian Liga Futsal
09.07.24	Marreco - Santo André Intelli	2:4 ✺
28.06.24	Corinthians Paulista - Marreco	1:1 ✺
22.06.24	Marreco - Assoeva	1:1 ✺
15.06.24	Marreco - Magnus	1:4 ✺
08.06.24	Minas - Marreco	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Liga Futsal
15.07.23	Marreco - Jaraguá	4:4
29.04.22	Marreco - Jaraguá	1:3
11.06.18	Jaraguá - Marreco	2:4
07.10.17	Jaraguá - Marreco	2:4
22.06.16	Jaraguá - Marreco	1:1

Jaraguá - Marreco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide