Match Info

LNF - Round 10

Date: 29 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Arena Jaragua (Jaragua do Sul)


	Jaraguá		São Lourenço

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
				Watch
	1.21	6.65	8.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.31)	6.65 ↑ (5.65)	8.7 ↑ (6.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaraguá
75.7%

Draw
13.8%

São Lourenço
10.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.7%

16.2%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

17.3%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaraguá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jaraguá's performance.

São Lourenço has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaraguá than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaraguá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Lourenço than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Jaraguá - São Lourenço Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Nicolas Souza (G)	22. Serjao (G)
7. Bruninho	23. Gesse
14. Eka	7. Ian Lucas
30. Gui Uesler	4. Pirulito
2. Tatinho	18. Vico
Substitutes
33. Carlos	39. Carlos Eduardo (G)
19. Di Fanti (G)	10. Claudinho
10. Jamur	17. Gabriel Darici
92. Jhonnas	26. Paulinho
8. Leco	5. Peru
28. Nenen Ribeiro	12. Tiago
5. Pedrinho	6. Vinicius
32. Ruan Alflen	19. Vinicius M.
9. Yan de Deus

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', Eka (G),
5', Claudinho (G),
14', Yan de Deus (G),
20', Jamur 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
23', Gui Uesler (G),
38', Yan de Deus (G),

Preview

Jaraguá is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

São Lourenço has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

São Lourenço may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jaraguá is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Jaraguá will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jaraguá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADJ Jaraguá
Brazilian Liga Futsal
25.06.25	Carlos Barbosa - Jaraguá	1:1 ✺
06.06.25	São José - Jaraguá	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Jaraguá - Atlântico	4:3 ✺
25.05.25	Joaçaba - Jaraguá	1:3 ✺
12.05.25	Jaraguá - Pato	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTWWT
- São Lourenço Futsal
Brazilian Liga Futsal
21.06.25	São Lourenço - Santo André Intelli	5:3 ✺
16.06.25	Corinthians Paulista - São Lourenço	2:2 ✺
03.06.25	Marreco - São Lourenço	0:0 ✺
24.05.25	São Lourenço - Minas	2:3 ✺
10.05.25	Futuro - São Lourenço	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Liga Futsal
08.06.24	São Lourenço - Jaraguá	1:4

Jaraguá - São Lourenço: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide