Match Info

LNF - Round 16

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Arena Jaragua (Jaragua do Sul)


	Jaraguá		Vélez Camaquã

	1	X	2
	1.36	6.2	5.4	Watch
	1.32	7.12	5.89	Watch
	1.23	6.35	7.9
	1.21	6.8	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.49)	6.62 ↑ (4.93)	6.85 ↑ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaraguá
72.4%

Draw
14%

Vélez Camaquã
13.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.8%

18.7%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

17.3%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaraguá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jaraguá's performance.

Vélez Camaquã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vélez Camaquã might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaraguá than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaraguá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Camaquã than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Jaraguá - Vélez Camaquã Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Jaraguá will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Lineups


7. Bruninho	16. Bruninho
19. Di Fanti	9. Caio Cesar
14. Eka	98. Foguinho
6. Galiotto	36. Gabriel
30. Gui Uesler	27. Gui Falcao
92. Jhonnas	33. Guilherme
8. Leco	97. Gustavo
28. Nenen Ribeiro	47. Helinho
22. Nicolas Souza	13. Indio
5. Pedrinho	12. Krawulski
32. Ruan Alflen	15. Leo
2. Tatinho	14. PH
11. William	11. Santos G.
9. Yan de Deus	21. Xitao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
10', Yan de Deus (G),
11', Nenen Ribeiro (Own Goal),
15', Gui Falcao (G),
17', Gabriel 🟨,
18', PH 🟨,
20', Eka (G),
20', Xitao (G),
2nd Half (4 - 1)
27', Jhonnas (G),
28', Xitao (G),
30', Helinho 🟨,
34', Leco (G),
35', Jhonnas (G),
37', Guilherme 🟨,
40', Pedrinho (G),

Preview

Jaraguá has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vélez Camaquã has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Jaraguá is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Jaraguá will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADJ Jaraguá
Brazilian Liga Futsal
02.08.25	Marreco - Jaraguá	2:2 ✺
30.07.25	Jaraguá - Minas	4:1 ✺
21.07.25	Futuro - Jaraguá	1:7 ✺
11.07.25	Jaraguá - Tubarão	3:1 ✺
07.07.25	Blumenau - Jaraguá	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWWWW
- Vélez Camaquã RS
Brazilian Liga Futsal
31.07.25	Vélez Camaquã - Santo André Intelli	5:2 ✺
24.07.25	Corinthians Paulista - Vélez Camaquã	4:3 ✺
22.07.25	Magnus - Vélez Camaquã	4:2 ✺
13.07.25	Vélez Camaquã - Marreco	4:1 ✺
03.07.25	Minas - Vélez Camaquã	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLLWW

Jaraguá - Vélez Camaquã: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide