Match Info

LNF - Round 13

Date: 23 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Centro de Eventos da UNOESC (Joaçaba)


	Joaçaba		Pato

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4	4.8	1.61	Watch
	3.97	4.59	1.67	Watch
	4.23	4.45	1.58	Watch
	3.95	4.5	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↓ (4.2)	4.59 ↑ (4.52)	1.62 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joaçaba
22.8%

Draw
20.1%

Pato
57.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.9%

20.4%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

18.6%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joaçaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Pato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joaçaba than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pato than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pato could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Joaçaba - Pato Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Jackson Sant'Anna (G)	1. Djony Mendes (G)
6. Gabriel Rizzi	28. Brayan
19. Jose Eduardo	8. Gleidson
12. Leo Gil	14. Renan Fogaca
99. Sheldon Durand	5. Ze Marques
Substitutes
1. Amaury K. (G)	20. Athirson Silva
14. Evandro	22. Dudu Machado
11. Janio	90. Gustavinho
7. Julio Cesar	17. Hiago
17. Kiuan Brandao	88. Ian
3. Negao J.	9. Kaio Henrique
20. Robinho	4. Micael
16. Teillor Lange	33. Renato Silva (G)
9. Tocha	13. Victor J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Tocha 🟨,
10', Brayan (G),
16', Dudu Machado 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
24', Ian 🟨,
31', Ze Marques (G),
38', Julio Cesar (G),
39', Evandro (G),
40', Julio Cesar 🟨,

Preview

Joaçaba has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pato has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Pato is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Joaçaba won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Joaçaba won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joaçaba Futsal
Brazilian Liga Futsal
15.07.25	ACMF Campo Mourão - Joaçaba	4:2 ✺
05.07.25	Joaçaba - Foz Cataratas	0:4 ✺
01.07.25	Umuarama - Joaçaba	3:2 ✺
21.06.25	Joaçaba - Cruzeiro	4:1 ✺
16.06.25	Dracena - Joaçaba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWT
- Pato Futsal
Brazilian Liga Futsal
12.07.25	Pato - Magnus	2:2 ✺
06.07.25	Pato - ACMF Campo Mourão	0:0 ✺
01.07.25	Foz Cataratas - Pato	1:1 ✺
24.06.25	Pato - Umuarama	0:3 ✺
12.06.25	Cruzeiro - Pato	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Liga Futsal
29.06.24	Pato - Joaçaba	2:1
01.07.23	Joaçaba - Pato	3:0
Brazilian Supercopa Futsal
16.03.23	Joaçaba - Pato	2:2
Brazilian Liga Futsal
07.07.19	Joaçaba - Pato	1:3

Joaçaba - Pato: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide