Match Info

Liga Placard - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão Leões Porto Salvo (Porto Salvo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Leões		Benfica

	1	X	2
	6	6.4	1.3
	4.43	5.16	1.50	Watch
	6.41	6.3	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.61 ↑ (4.89)	5.95 ↑ (5.68)	1.37 ↓ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leões
16.5%

Draw
15.6%

Benfica
67.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

16.2%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

17.7%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leões than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benfica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Leões - Benfica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Sousa A. (G)	22. Leo Gugiel (G)
6. Alves Carrilho R. F.	9. De Souza H.
4. Injai L.	4. Jesus A.
29. Rodrigues H.	18. Nunes D.
10. Silvestre R.	7. Rocha L.
Substitutes
16. Bernardo R. M.	10. Arthur
9. Dzyalochynsky A.	17. Carlinhos
8. Fernandes Brigadas Marques B. M. (G)	12. Carrera D. (G)
11. Fortes A.	8. Coelho A.
99. Furtado I.	2. Ferreira S.
13. Hiroshi R.	99. Jacare
28. Joel Ribeiro	6. Moreira R.
7. Sa B.	11. Tchuda E.
17. Teixeira R.	13. Varela P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', Coelho A. (G), Carlinhos (A),
8', Carlinhos 🟨,
9', Jacare (G),
12', Jesus A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
28', De Souza H. (G),
33', De Souza H. (G),

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leões won 0.

In recent matches, Leões has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Benfica is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Benfica has had a series of away games.

In this match, Benfica is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leões won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 18 matches, and goals 32:77. (average 1.6:3.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Leões won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:30. (average 1.8:3.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
3	Benfica	5	3	2	0	17:9	11
7	Leoes	5	2	1	2	15:20	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CR Leões de Porto Salvo
Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
19.05.26	Leões - Rio Ave	7:3 ✺
14.05.26	Rio Ave - Leões	3:6 ✺
02.05.26	Leões - Sporting Lisbon	2:5 ✺
Taca de Portugal Futsal
22.04.26	Leões - Benfica	3:6 ✺
Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
18.04.26	Benfica - Leões	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLL
- Benfica Futsal
Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
19.05.26	Benfica - Eléctrico	5:0 ✺
14.05.26	Eléctrico - Benfica	3:4 ✺
02.05.26	Torreense - Benfica	3:5 ✺
Taca de Portugal Futsal
26.04.26	Sporting Lisbon - Benfica	5:6 ✺
22.04.26	Leões - Benfica	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Taca de Portugal Futsal
22.04.26	Leões - Benfica	3:6
Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
18.04.26	Benfica - Leões	3:2 penalties
Portuguese Taca da Liga
13.03.26	Benfica - Leões	3:2 penalties
Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
18.11.25	Leões - Benfica	1:2
Taca de Portugal Futsal
28.03.25	Benfica - Leões	6:3
Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
21.03.25	Benfica - Leões	5:4
16.11.24	Leões - Benfica	2:2

Leões - Benfica: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide