Match Info

Liga Placard - Round 13

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday

Location: Pavilhão Leões Porto Salvo (Porto Salvo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Leões		Caxinas Poça da Barca

	1	X	2
	1.32	6.2	5.8
	1.37	5.91	5.27	Watch
	1.31	6.1	5.81
	1.35	5.5	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.37)	5.93 ↑ (5.91)	5.55 ↑ (5.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leões
68.2%

Draw
15.4%

Caxinas Poça da Barca
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

15.5%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

10.2%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Caxinas Poça da Barca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leões than the current prediction. (-24%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leões that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxinas Poça da Barca than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caxinas Poça da Barca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leões - Caxinas Poça da Barca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Sousa A. (G)	16. Osuji D. (G)
6. Alves Carrilho R. F.	9. Bazan T.
11. Fortes A.	27. Castela M.
13. Hiroshi R.	12. Correia M.
10. Silvestre R.	10. Marcelo S.
Substitutes
5. Dzyalochynsky A.	17. Colaco T.
24. Furtado I.	4. Leo Evangelista
4. Injai L.	19. Marques R.
47. Neto L.	22. Pontes L. (G)
0. Ribeiro J.	33. Sacramento T. (G)
29. Rodrigues H.	20. Sousa D.
7. Sa B.	11. Souza A.
8. Solinho P.
17. Teixeira R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', Sa B. (G), Neto L. (A),
19', Marques R. (G), Correia M. (A),
20', Silvestre R. (G),
20', Neto L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
21', Castela M. (G), Correia M. (A),
24', Correia M. 🟨,
25', Sa B. 🟨,
25', Teixeira R. 🟨,
32', Marcelo S. 🟨,
34', Fortes A. 🟨,
37', Sa B. (G), Silvestre R. (A),
38', Silvestre R. (G), Alves Carrilho R. F. (A),
38', Correia M. (G),
40', Sousa A. (Own Goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leões won 1.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, Leões is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Leões won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:16. (average 2.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Leões won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 2.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CR Leões de Porto Salvo
Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
06.12.25	Fundão - Leões	3:3 ✺
29.11.25	Sporting Lisbon - Leões	6:3 ✺
18.11.25	Leões - Benfica	1:2 ✺
14.11.25	Ferreira do Zêzere - Leões	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Leões - Rio Ave	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 TLLTL
- Caxinas Poça da Barca
Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
05.12.25	Caxinas Poça da Barca - Famalicão	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Caxinas Poça da Barca - Eléctrico	2:3 ✺
22.11.25	Quinta dos Lombos - Caxinas Poça da Barca	4:3 ✺
17.11.25	Fundão - Caxinas Poça da Barca	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Caxinas Poça da Barca - Sporting Lisbon	1:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
13.09.25	Caxinas Poça da Barca - Leões	0:5
15.03.25	Leões - Caxinas Poça da Barca	2:2
Portuguese Taca da Liga
19.02.25	Caxinas Poça da Barca - Leões	2:1 penalties
Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
11.11.24	Caxinas Poça da Barca - Leões	1:1
23.03.24	Leões - Caxinas Poça da Barca	2:2
Portuguese Taca da Liga
18.01.24	Leões - Caxinas Poça da Barca	4:1
Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
11.11.23	Caxinas Poça da Barca - Leões	2:2

Leões - Caxinas Poça da Barca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide