Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 23

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Leganés		Málaga

	1	X	2
	5	5.8	1.39
	5.09	5.70	1.38	Watch
	5.04	5.65	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.04 ↓ (5.09)	5.72 ↑ (5.7)	1.38 (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leganés
18.1%

Draw
16%

Málaga
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

16%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.7%

17.1%

70.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Leganés - Málaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

Leganés is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Málaga has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Leganés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Málaga is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Leganés won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
10	Leganes	4	1	1	2	11:11	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leganés Futsal
Spanish Segunda Division Futsal
28.02.26	Barcelona B - Leganés	2:7 ✺
22.02.26	Leganés - Unión África Ceutí	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Leganés - Ibiza	3:3 ✺
31.01.26	Colo Colo Zaragoza - Leganés	4:2 ✺
24.01.26	Leganés - Levante UD DM	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWTLW
- Málaga FS
Spanish Segunda Division Futsal
07.03.26	Málaga - Martorell	4:2 ✺
28.02.26	Colo Colo Zaragoza - Málaga	1:4 ✺
21.02.26	Málaga - Levante UD DM	6:9 ✺
31.01.26	Málaga - Unión África Ceutí	1:3 ✺
24.01.26	Barcelona B - Málaga	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda Division Futsal
21.12.25	Málaga - Leganés	4:3
04.05.25	Málaga - Leganés	2:1
26.10.24	Leganés - Málaga	1:1

Leganés - Málaga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide