Match Info
Serie A - Round 9Date: 21 November 2025, FridayLocation: PalaNeolรน (Mantova)
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Mantova |
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Napoli |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 6.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Mantova 25.4% | Draw 16.7% | Napoli 57.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mantova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Napoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Mantova - Napoli Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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17. Casassa M. (G)
| 12. Bellobuono J. (G)
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8. Donadoni F.
| 24. Bolo L.
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11. Mascherona M.
| 5. Cecilio F.
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10. Misael G.
| 8. Guilhermao
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5. Taurisano A.
| 6. Perugino F.
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| Substitutes |
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25. Caique
| 9. Borruto C.
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88. Carvalho A.
| 66. Bortoletto L.
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9. Ceccatto
| 94. De Gennaro A. (G)
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6. Deidda L. (G)
| 4. Grasso R.
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15. Miquelussi L.
| 22. Kamel L. M.
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12. Moratelli E.
| 18. Mazzoleni P.
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18. Wilde
| 10. Salas A.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (4 - 2)
- 3', Taurisano A. (G),
- 6', Grasso R. 🟨,
- 9', Borruto C. 🟨,
- 12', Donadoni F. (G),
- 15', Bolo L. 🟨,
- 19', Bolo L. (G),
- 20', Borruto C. (G),
- 20', Carvalho A. (G),
- 20', Salas A. 🟨,
- 20', Mascherona M. (G),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 23', Wilde 🟨,
- 27', Borruto C. (G),
- 28', Donadoni F. 🟥,
- 30', Borruto C. (G),
- 31', Carvalho A. 🟨,
- 34', Guilhermao (G),
Preview
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Mantova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Napoli is the team to beat.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 3.3:5.7).Including home match between the teams, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;