Match Info

BRAZIL: LNF - Round 19

Date: 7 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: Ginásio Dolivar Lavarda (Pato Branco)


	Pato		Blumenau

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.25	5.25
	1.16	6.5	9
	1.13	8.71	13	Watch
	1.17	7	8.5
	1.14	8	10.4	Watch
	1.16	6.5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.3)	6.99 ↑ (5.5)	9.19 ↑ (5.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pato
77.2%

Draw
13%

Blumenau
9.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.4%

16.2%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

15.8%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pato's performance.

Blumenau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Blumenau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pato than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pato that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blumenau than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Blumenau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Pato - Blumenau Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Blumenau will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Djony Mendes (G)	91. Gabriel (G)
14. Dudu	11. Douglinhas
11. Duduzinho	8. Igor Gamarra
22. Eduardo	47. Neto L.
10. Ton	17. Vitor
Substitutes
21. Caio Barros	77. Crystian
41. Daniel	70. de Oliveira Silva N.
12. Jhoy	2. Kelwin Schmitt (G)
48. Lucao	99. Nunes K.
9. Malinha	14. Paraiba J. (G)
20. Pastega	36. Patu F.
2. Renan Secco (G)	87. Pedro
5. Ze Marques	9. Raul
	7. Sheldon

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Eduardo 🟨,
15', Ze Marques 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
22', Duduzinho 🟨,
24', Dudu 🟨,
25', Gabriel 🟥,
26', Dudu (G),
27', Neto L. 🟨,
27', Neto L. 🟥,
28', Dudu (G),
35', Jhoy (G),
36', Jhoy (G),

Preview

Pato is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Blumenau is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Pato is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pato won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Pato won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pato Futsal
Brazilian Liga Futsal
03.08.24	São Lourenço - Pato	5:4 ✺
27.07.24	Pato - Carlos Barbosa	1:1 ✺
20.07.24	Cascavel - Pato	6:4 ✺
16.07.24	Pato - São José	6:1 ✺
06.07.24	Atlântico - Pato	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLWL
- Blumenau Futsal
Brazilian Liga Futsal
02.08.24	Blumenau - ACMF Campo Mourão	2:1 ✺
29.07.24	Foz Cataratas - Blumenau	6:0 ✺
19.07.24	Blumenau - Umuarama	1:1 ✺
12.07.24	Taubaté - Blumenau	1:3 ✺
05.07.24	Blumenau - Brasília	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Liga Futsal
11.08.23	Blumenau - Pato	0:3
19.05.18	Pato - Blumenau	7:1

Pato - Blumenau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide