Match Info

BRAZIL: LNF - Round 13

Date: 29 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Ginásio Dolivar Lavarda (Pato Branco)


	Pato		Joaçaba

	1	X	2
	1.5	5	3.95	Watch
	1.34	5.8	6.23
	1.44	5	4.2
	1.36	5.5	5.63	Watch
	1.45	5.2	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.52)	5.3 ↑ (5.14)	4.94 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pato
64.3%

Draw
17.2%

Joaçaba
18.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.3%

17.8%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

85.2%

25.1%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Joaçaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pato than the current prediction. (+20.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joaçaba than the current prediction. (-3%)

Pato - Joaçaba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Djony Mendes (G)	33. Bruninho (G)
12. Jhoy	36. Chapinha
7. Neguinho	30. Heitor
10. Ton	7. Julio Cesar
5. Ze Marques	80. Rafao
Substitutes
41. Daniel	18. Andrei Luthke
14. Dudu	70. Augusto R.
11. Duduzinho	8. Cadu
88. Ian	14. Evandro
48. Lucao	10. Felipe Reis
9. Malinha	11. Janio
18. Matheus	1. Leo Parisotto (G)
20. Pastega	9. Tocha
2. Renan Secco (G)	20. Vitinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', Rafao (G),
4', Ton (G),
14', Augusto R. 🟨,
20', Felipe Reis 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
31', Ian 🟨,
31', Heitor 🟨,
34', Janio 🟨,
34', Djony Mendes 🟨,
40', Jhoy 🟨,
40', Daniel 🟨,
40', Ton (G),

Preview

Recent matches Pato is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Joaçaba is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pato could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pato is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Pato to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pato won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pato Futsal
Brazilian Liga Futsal
21.06.24	Magnus - Pato	5:0 ✺
16.06.24	ACMF Campo Mourão - Pato	3:3 ✺
08.06.24	Pato - Foz Cataratas	5:1 ✺
31.05.24	Umuarama - Pato	1:0 ✺
22.05.24	Pato - Taubaté	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTWLW
- Joaçaba Futsal
Brazilian Liga Futsal
22.06.24	Joaçaba - ACMF Campo Mourão	1:3 ✺
17.06.24	Foz Cataratas - Joaçaba	1:2 ✺
31.05.24	Taubaté - Joaçaba	3:4 ✺
18.05.24	Joaçaba - Brasília	8:1 ✺
11.05.24	Joinville - Joaçaba	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Liga Futsal
01.07.23	Joaçaba - Pato	3:0
Brazilian Supercopa Futsal
16.03.23	Joaçaba - Pato	2:2
Brazilian Liga Futsal
07.07.19	Joaçaba - Pato	1:3

Pato - Joaçaba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide