Location: Pavilhao Desportivo dos Lombos (Quinta dos Lombos)
Where to Watch on TV:
Portugal
Canal 11
Quinta dos Lombos
Braga AAUM
1
X
2
6.2
7
1.27
6.43
6.95
1.25
4.75
5.75
1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)
5.79 ↑ (4.97)
6.57 ↑ (6.3)
1.29 ↓ (1.36)
The most likely Over/Under: 7.00
The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Quinta dos Lombos 15.7%
Draw 13.9%
Braga AAUM 70.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.4%
14.5%
67.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.8%
16.4%
59.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Quinta dos Lombos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Braga AAUM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quinta dos Lombos than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Quinta dos Lombos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga AAUM than the current prediction. (-11%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Braga AAUM, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Quinta dos Lombos - Braga AAUM Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:6
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Pinto T. (G)
21. Costa L. (G)
97. Bahia I.
6. Brito T.
17. Dias M.
9. Lopes R.
11. Silva T.
3. Sousa T.
12. Sobral G.
31. Vitao
Substitutes
0. Costa D.
10. Bebe
5. Cruz F.
19. Fernandes L.
7. Gabi
8. Henmi R.
18. Ganhao D.
12. Nogueira S.
20. Gita D.
76. Paixao G.
73. Kaka
97. Ribeiro L.
4. Mouralinho C.
11. Ture M.
1. Nunes P. (G)
14. Willian Carioca
6. Pereira P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Silva T. 🟨,
12', Kaka 🟨,
15', Bebe 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
27', Ture M. (G),
35', Sobral G. (G), Costa D. (A),
37', Lopes R. (G), Fernandes L. (A),
40', Gita D. (G), Sobral G. (A),
40', Costa D. 🟨,
40', Brito T. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quinta dos Lombos won 2.
Recent form of Quinta dos Lombos has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Braga AAUM is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Quinta dos Lombos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Braga AAUM is the team to beat.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Quinta dos Lombos won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 41:56. (average 2.3:3.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Quinta dos Lombos won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:29. (average 2.6:3.2).
Portugal
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Pinto T. (G) 
Bahia I. 
Henmi R. 
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