Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 20

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Hala Sportowo Widowiskowa (Pniewy)


	Red Dragons Pniewy		Bochnia

	1	X	2
	5.6	6.2	1.35
	5.8	6	1.35	Watch
	5.5	6	1.33
	5.58	6.1	1.33
	5.6	6.2	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.62 ↑ (4.7)	6.1 ↑ (5.8)	1.34 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Dragons Pniewy
16.4%

Draw
15.1%

Bochnia
68.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

15.9%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

15.7%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Dragons Pniewy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Bochnia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Dragons Pniewy than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bochnia than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Red Dragons Pniewy - Bochnia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Blaszczyk L. (G)	21. Saaf V. (G)
23. Blaszyk P.	81. Budzyn A.
3. Caminero A.	7. Cabalceta M.
15. Siuda O.	4. Pikkarainen T.
14. Tubau R.	19. Wedzony A.
Substitutes
98. Baguete	32. Aksamit R. (G)
26. De Sousa R.	97. Carvalho M. A.
11. Durkiewicz J.	10. Leszczak S.
13. Holy P.	8. Matras P.
8. Klatkiewicz H.	33. Mossberg V.
9. Kostecki M.	6. Prokop M.
7. Kozak A.	70. Przybyl W.
19. Malycha M. (G)
18. Pietryka I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Cabalceta M. (G),
17', Leszczak S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 4)
21', Prokop M. (G),
24', Cabalceta M. (G),
27', Prokop M. 🟨,
33', Cabalceta M. (G),
33', Caminero A. 🟥,
35', Przybyl W. (G),
36', Kostecki M. (G),
39', Tubau R. (G),
40', Tubau R. (G),

Preview

Red Dragons Pniewy is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bochnia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Red Dragons Pniewy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bochnia is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Red Dragons Pniewy won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:15 (average 2.8:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Red Dragons Pniewy won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Dragons Pniewy
Polish Ekstraklasa Futsal
23.01.25	Widzew Łódź - Red Dragons Pniewy	5:4 ✺
18.01.25	Red Dragons Pniewy - Legia Warsaw	5:2 ✺
15.01.25	Futsal Leszno - Red Dragons Pniewy	4:2 ✺
06.01.25	Red Dragons Pniewy - AZS UŚ Katowice	2:3 ✺
21.12.24	Red Dragons Pniewy - Lubawa	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLLL
- BSF ABJ Bochnia
Polish Cup Futsal
25.01.25	AZS UŚ Katowice - Bochnia	2:6 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa Futsal
22.01.25	Bochnia - FC Toruń	5:2 ✺
18.01.25	Bochnia - Widzew Łódź	4:1 ✺
15.01.25	Legia Warsaw - Bochnia	4:4 ✺
07.01.25	Bochnia - Futsal Leszno	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Futsal
09.10.24	Bochnia - Red Dragons Pniewy	6:4
10.03.24	Bochnia - Red Dragons Pniewy	3:4
11.11.23	Red Dragons Pniewy - Bochnia	3:2
25.01.23	Red Dragons Pniewy - Bochnia	3:1
09.09.22	Bochnia - Red Dragons Pniewy	3:0

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