The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sandro Abate 23.1%
Draw 17%
Napoli 59.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.9%
16.3%
59.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.7%
23.7%
41.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sandro Abate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandro Abate than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sandro Abate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-18.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Napoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sandro Abate - Napoli Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Ducci D. (G)
12. Bellobuono J. (G)
10. Abate M.
9. Borruto C.
11. Alex
66. Bortoletto L.
2. Galletto G.
8. Guilhermao
8. Mello V.
6. Perugino F.
Substitutes
6. Botta V.
24. Bolo L.
7. Canarino M.
87. Canabarro
77. Dimas
30. Chianese G. (G)
18. Donatiello S.
20. Chino
22. Ferreira E.
11. Dener M.
13. Gabriel Darici
4. Grasso R.
9. Maltauro A.
2. Mazzoleni P.
1. Vitiello R. (G)
10. Salas A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
1', Ferreira E. (G),
5', Galletto G. 🟨,
5', Dener M. 🟨,
10', Bolo L. 🟨,
13', Dimas (G),
15', Maltauro A. 🟨,
16', (Own Goal),
2nd Half (4 - 5)
21', Ferreira E. 🟨,
22', Chino (G),
22', Chino 🟨,
30', Bolo L. (G),
31', Galletto G. (G),
31', Galletto G. (G),
32', Guilhermao (G),
33', Borruto C. (G),
35', Galletto G. 🟥,
36', Bolo L. (G),
36', Ferreira E. (G),
37', Alex (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sandro Abate won 0.
Sandro Abate has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Napoli is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, Napoli is a strong favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sandro Abate won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:42. (average 2.3:3.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Sandro Abate won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 3.2:3.2).