Match Info

Liga Nacional - Round 11

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Santa Coloma		Noia

	1	X	2
	1.95	4.7	2.75
	1.89	5.26	2.65	Watch
	1.97	4.45	2.72	Watch
	1.91	4.5	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 (1.93)	4.73 ↓ (5)	2.69 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Coloma
47.1%

Draw
19.2%

Noia
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

18.3%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

15.9%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Coloma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Noia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Coloma than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Coloma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noia than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Santa Coloma - Noia Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Santa Coloma will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Santa Coloma will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Joao Frezzato (G)	21. Peixe (G)
17. Corso S. (C)	16. Biel
11. Leandrinho	77. Lemos R.
10. Ramos V.	5. Montero D.
3. Tolra M.	20. Pazos D. (C)
Substitutes
24. Aldoma A.	7. Altamirano L.
20. Dalmau N.	31. Churrasco
25. Ferreyra Marcos (G)	18. Douglas S.
33. Harada K.	9. Leozin
30. Leguizamon M.	24. Lopez I.
18. Niello B.	25. Schutt (G)
2. Povill	23. Thierry
12. Puigvert	8. Varsalona
4. Santos U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
9', Leandrinho 🟨,
10', Thierry (G),
10', Altamirano L. (G),
11', Harada K. (G),
15', Puigvert (G),
15', Lopez I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
28', Thierry (G),
29', Pazos D. 🟨,
31', Douglas S. 🟨,
32', Leandrinho (G),
33', Churrasco 🟨,
33', 🟨,
33', Lopez I. (G),
37', 🟨,
40', Douglas S. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Coloma won 3.

Santa Coloma has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Noia has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Santa Coloma might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Santa Coloma won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 4:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Santa Coloma won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 4.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Industrias Santa Coloma
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
18.11.25	Leganés - Santa Coloma	5:7 OT ✺
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
15.11.25	Xota - Santa Coloma	3:4 ✺
07.11.25	Santa Coloma - O Parrulo	2:3 ✺
01.11.25	Jaén Paraíso Interior - Santa Coloma	7:2 ✺
26.10.25	Santa Coloma - Alzira	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLLW
- Noia FS
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
18.11.25	Tafa - Noia	3:6 ✺
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
15.11.25	Noia - Inter	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Noia - Castell de Peñiscola	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Ribera Navarra - Noia	6:4 ✺
20.10.25	Palma Futsal - Noia	11:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
01.04.25	Noia - Santa Coloma	4:3
21.12.24	Santa Coloma - Noia	5:3
20.04.24	Noia - Santa Coloma	4:3
18.11.23	Santa Coloma - Noia	3:1
20.05.23	Santa Coloma - Noia	6:1
21.12.22	Noia - Santa Coloma	1:4

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