Match Info
LNF - Round 11Date: 4 July 2025, FridayLocation: Tênis Clube São José dos Campos (Sao Jose dos Campos)
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São José |
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Cruzeiro |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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Watch |
 |
1.12 |
9.2 |
13 |
|
 |
1.1 |
8.7 |
12.2 |
Watch |
 |
1.11 |
8.2 |
11 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.11 ↓ (2.07) |
8.7 ↑ (4.5) |
12.07 ↑ (2.47) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
- The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
São José 82% | Draw 10.5% | Cruzeiro 7.5% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:São José has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+38.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São José's performance.Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cruzeiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for São José than the current prediction. (-40.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São José that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+30.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cruzeiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.São José - Cruzeiro Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Lucas (G)
| 2. Kauan (G)
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11. Gabriel
| 14. Caique
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75. Gustavo
| 70. Gabriel Delabela
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27. Ronney
| 71. Juninho
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8. Wesley
| 76. Raime
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| Substitutes |
|---|
6. Bahia
| 11. Berg
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14. Danilo
| 73. Bernardo
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12. David (G)
| 90. Enzo (G)
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55. de Melo Carvalho G.
| 16. Gustavinho
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35. Gabriel Gomes
| 81. Gustavinho
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15. Godoi P.
| 12. Gustavo
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9. Johnathan
| 75. Marcos
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5. Luis Fernando
| 6. Raul
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17. Matheusinho
| 5. Souza M.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Raul 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 23', Ronney (G),
- 25', Ronney 🟨,
- 30', de Melo Carvalho G. 🟨,
- 30', Gabriel Gomes 🟨,
- 30', Kauan 🟨,
- 30', Bernardo 🟨,
- 31', Luis Fernando (G),
- 31', Luis Fernando (G),
- 33', Raul (G),
Preview
In recent matches, São José has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Cruzeiro is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win. In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;