The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
São Lourenço 47%
Draw 19.3%
Corinthians Paulista 33.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42%
20.2%
37.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.8%
22.4%
42.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Lourenço has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
Corinthians Paulista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Lourenço than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São Lourenço that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians Paulista than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Corinthians Paulista could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
São Lourenço - Corinthians Paulista Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4
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Lineups
16. Biel
66. Borges G. H.
31. Churrasco
87. Canabarro
20. Claudinho
10. Deives
13. Daniel Sodre
8. Gugu Flores
97. Fabiano
98. Igor Carioca
23. Gabriel Darici
15. Levy
8. Guilherme Kadu
14. Lucas Martins
36. Gurgel
3. Lucas Oliveira
7. Ian Lucas
77. Luisinho
10. Leozin
31. Michael d. O.
5. Peru
90. Ronaldo
17. Rodrigo Lolatto
5. Sinesio
22. Serjao
22. Thalisson
33. Suita
25. Yann
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Leozin 🟨,
9', Igor Carioca (G),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
27', Igor Carioca (G),
27', Canabarro 🟨,
27', Peru 🟨,
29', Lucas Martins 🟨,
34', Canabarro (Own Goal),
36', Deives (G),
Preview
Two teams are playing changeable.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.