Match Info

HMNL - Round 6

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	Torcida Split		Rijeka

	1	X	2
	1.54	5.6	3.85
	1.62	5.86	3.33	Watch
	1.54	5.35	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.62)	5.6 ↓ (5.86)	3.66 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torcida Split
58.6%

Draw
16.4%

Rijeka
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

15.7%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

13.7%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torcida Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torcida Split than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torcida Split, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-1%)

Torcida Split - Rijeka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
2nd Half (1 - 3)

Preview

Torcida is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rijeka's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Torcida is a strong favorite.

We predict that Torcida will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Torcida won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Torcida won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MNK Torcida Split
Croatian 1 HMNL
15.11.25	Crnica - Torcida Split	3:6 ✺
07.11.25	Torcida Split - Pula	6:4 ✺
24.10.25	Futsal Dinamo - Torcida Split	5:0 ✺
10.10.25	Torcida Split - Vrgorac	4:2 ✺
04.10.25	Novo Vrijeme Makarska - Torcida Split	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLWT
- HMNK Rijeka
Croatian 1 HMNL
16.11.25	Pula - Rijeka	2:3 ✺
07.11.25	Rijeka - Vrgorac	5:4 ✺
25.10.25	Olmissum - Rijeka	3:2 ✺
10.10.25	Rijeka - Osijek	5:4 ✺
05.10.25	Crnica - Rijeka	7:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian 1 HMNL
21.02.25	Rijeka - Torcida Split	2:4
22.11.24	Torcida Split - Rijeka	2:1

Torcida Split - Rijeka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide