The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod 2 35.1%
Draw 19.8%
Metallurg Mednogorsk 45.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
19.5%
47.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.8%
21%
50.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Metallurg Mednogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod 2 than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Mednogorsk than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metallurg Mednogorsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
Extra Time (3 - 0)
Preview
First leg.
Torpedo 2 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Metallurg Mednogorsk has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Metallurg Mednogorsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Metallurg Mednogorsk has had a series of away games.
Metallurg Mednogorsk could have a small edge in this match.
We predict that Torpedo 2 will win today's game, with odds of 2.76.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Torpedo 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 3:5).
Including home match between the teams, Torpedo 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6.