Match Info

LNF - Round 21

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Centro Municipal de Esportes Wadislau Niemxeski (Camaqua)


	Vélez Camaquã		Umuarama

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.36	5.90	6.11	Watch
	1.82	4.25	3.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.82)	5.08 ↑ (4.25)	4.67 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez Camaquã
60.5%

Draw
18.9%

Umuarama
20.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.2%

21.5%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

30.4%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez Camaquã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vélez Camaquã's performance.

Umuarama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Umuarama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Camaquã than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vélez Camaquã, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umuarama than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Vélez Camaquã - Umuarama Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. PH (G)	17. Dalton (G)
9. Caio Cesar	9. Capinha
98. Foguinho	77. Joaozinho
11. Guilherme	98. Kris Maranhao
15. Leo	97. Vini Rod
Substitutes
16. Bruninho	8. Chicharito
36. Gabriel (G)	3. Dalvan (G)
27. Gui Falcao	23. Eduardo
33. Guilherme	6. Henrique Luft
13. Indio	5. Leo Maciel
10. Juninho	20. Luanzinho
12. Krawulski	15. Matheus Segala
7. Rozenski L.	29. Renan
21. Xitao	13. Vitao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', Leo (G),
8', Luanzinho 🟨,
9', Leo Maciel (G),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
22', Foguinho 🟨,
26', Gui Falcao (G),
29', Guilherme (G),
39', Guilherme (G),
40', Chicharito 🟨,

Preview

Vélez Camaquã has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Umuarama is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vélez Camaquã may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vélez Camaquã will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez Camaquã RS
Brazilian Liga Futsal
06.09.25	Cruzeiro - Vélez Camaquã	2:5 ✺
30.08.25	Vélez Camaquã - Dracena	6:0 ✺
24.08.25	Joinville - Vélez Camaquã	6:1 ✺
16.08.25	Vélez Camaquã - Praia Clube	1:4 ✺
13.08.25	São Lourenço - Vélez Camaquã	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLLT
- AFSU Umuarama Futsal
Brazilian Liga Futsal
09.09.25	Umuarama - Marreco	3:3 ✺
31.08.25	Minas - Umuarama	4:1 ✺
23.08.25	Umuarama - Futuro	4:1 ✺
18.08.25	Tubarão - Umuarama	0:1 ✺
08.08.25	Umuarama - Blumenau	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLWWW

Vélez Camaquã - Umuarama: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide