Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 14

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Centrum Sportu Wilanów (Warsaw)


	Wilanów		Red Dragons Pniewy

	1	X	2
	2.65	4.6	2.05
	2.46	4.83	2.14	Watch
	2.6	4.5	2
	2.66	4.35	2.04
	2.65	4.6	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.7)	4.58 ↓ (4.6)	2.06 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wilanów
35.3%

Draw
20.1%

Red Dragons Pniewy
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

20.1%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

20%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wilanów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Red Dragons Pniewy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wilanów than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Dragons Pniewy than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Wilanów - Red Dragons Pniewy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mianowicz M. (G)	4. Blaszczyk L. (G)
6. Camargo R.	13. Holy P.
7. Fernandes R.	8. Klatkiewicz H.
9. Rezende A.	9. Kostecki M.
19. Tendero J.	15. Siuda O.
Substitutes
17. Bednarczuk I.	98. Baguete
23. Dmochewicz O.	5. Berger O.
54. Galas B.	23. Blaszyk P.
77. Gorzynski J.	3. Caminero A.
8. Jagielski O.	12. Kagmierski B.
15. Marcinkowski R.	7. Kozak A.
14. Pereira J.	6. Krajewski N.
12. Wasaznik D. (G)	19. Malycha M. (G)
29. Wielgat S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', Jagielski O. 🟨,
15', Baguete (G),
18', Rezende A. (G),
20', Camargo R. (G),
2nd Half (2 - 5)
22', Blaszyk P. (G),
22', Baguete (G),
24', Wielgat S. (G),
25', Blaszyk P. (G),
26', Tendero J. (G),
36', Blaszyk P. (G),
40', Blaszyk P. (G),

Preview

Wilanów has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Red Dragons Pniewy is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Red Dragons Pniewy will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZS UW Wilanów
Polish Ekstraklasa Futsal
01.12.24	Bochnia - Wilanów	5:5 ✺
23.11.24	Wilanów - Widzew Łódź	1:3 ✺
17.11.24	Legia Warsaw - Wilanów	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	Wilanów - Futsal Leszno	1:7 ✺
03.11.24	AZS UŚ Katowice - Wilanów	7:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TLLLL
- Red Dragons Pniewy
Polish Ekstraklasa Futsal
30.11.24	Red Dragons Pniewy - Przemyśl	2:6 ✺
24.11.24	Red Devils Chojnice - Red Dragons Pniewy	2:1 ✺
16.11.24	Red Dragons Pniewy - Gwiazda Ruda Śląska	3:2 ✺
09.11.24	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Red Dragons Pniewy	7:2 ✺
02.11.24	Red Dragons Pniewy - Odra Opole	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWLL

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