Match Info

Liga Nacional - Round 6

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday


	Xota		Valdepeñas

	1	X	2
	1.85	5.2	2.85
	1.9	4.6	2.93	Watch
	1.72	5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.91)	4.93 ↑ (4.68)	2.93 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xota
50.2%

Draw
18.5%

Valdepeñas
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

19.8%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

22.4%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xota has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Valdepeñas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xota than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valdepeñas than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Xota - Valdepeñas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Llamas A. (G)	1. Puerta B. (G)
7. Cervino I.	7. Carrasco
16. Ortas A.	2. Jose Mario
10. Pachu	61. Mateus Torres
9. Saldise D.	16. Naranjo A.
Substitutes
21. Anjinho	10. Alex
14. Cuello J.	. Balbuena C.
19. Iraurgi A.	5. Boyis
22. Josu M.	99. Gustavao
13. Korsun I.	77. Juanan
12. Linhares	27. Lucas Cezar
97. Palazon A. (G)	29. Vandeson (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
21', Cervino I. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xota won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Valdepeñas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Xota might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Xota will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Xota won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:39. (average 2.9:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Xota won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 2.9:2.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xota FS
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
07.10.25	Xota - Palma Futsal	4:3 ✺
03.10.25	Xota - Noia	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	O Parrulo - Xota	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Xota - Alzira	5:2 ✺
10.09.25	Barcelona Alusport - Xota	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLTWL
- FS Valdepeñas
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
04.10.25	Valdepeñas - O Parrulo	7:1 ✺
27.09.25	Noia - Valdepeñas	3:1 ✺
14.09.25	Valdepeñas - Santa Coloma	6:4 ✺
09.09.25	Valdepeñas - Palma Futsal	3:5 ✺
06.09.25	Jaén Paraíso Interior - Valdepeñas	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
28.02.25	Xota - Valdepeñas	2:2
21.12.24	Valdepeñas - Xota	2:2
12.01.24	Xota - Valdepeñas	1:2
09.09.23	Valdepeñas - Xota	2:2
08.04.23	Valdepeñas - Xota	2:3
25.11.22	Xota - Valdepeñas	1:3
23.04.22	Valdepeñas - Xota	4:2

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