Match Info

1. NLB Liga - Winners stage - Round 4

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Škofja Loka		Gorenje Velenje

	1	X	2
	2.55	7.6	1.75
	2.56	7.24	1.74	Watch
	2.38	7.5	1.8
	2.39	8.6	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 (2.47)	7.74 ↓ (10.15)	1.78 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Škofja Loka
36.9%

Draw
11.8%

Gorenje Velenje
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

8.9%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

8.5%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Škofja Loka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Gorenje Velenje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Škofja Loka than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorenje Velenje than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Škofja Loka - Gorenje Velenje Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:29

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Škofja Loka won 3.

Škofja Loka has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gorenje is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gorenje may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gorenje is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Škofja Loka won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 500:582. (average 25:29.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Škofja Loka won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 217:249. (average 24.1:27.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
5	Gorenje	6	4	0	2	174:166	8
6	Loka	6	3	1	2	182:180	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RD Škofja Loka
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
05.04.26	Škofja Loka - Slovenj Gradec	30:32 ✺
27.03.26	Škofja Loka - Slovan Ljubljana	29:30 ✺
13.03.26	Gorenje Velenje - Škofja Loka	27:28 ✺
07.03.26	Škofja Loka - Škofljica	26:28 ✺
28.02.26	Trimo Trebnje - Škofja Loka	31:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 LLWLW
- RK Gorenje Velenje
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
03.04.26	Gorenje Velenje - Slovan Ljubljana	19:26 ✺
28.03.26	Slovenj Gradec - Gorenje Velenje	26:21 ✺
13.03.26	Gorenje Velenje - Škofja Loka	27:28 ✺
06.03.26	Ribnica - Gorenje Velenje	30:28 ✺
27.02.26	Gorenje Velenje - Radovljica	26:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
13.03.26	Gorenje Velenje - Škofja Loka	27:28
05.12.25	Gorenje Velenje - Škofja Loka	31:29
20.09.25	Škofja Loka - Gorenje Velenje	25:20
11.04.25	Gorenje Velenje - Škofja Loka	28:25
23.11.24	Gorenje Velenje - Škofja Loka	25:28
07.09.24	Škofja Loka - Gorenje Velenje	26:26
26.04.24	Gorenje Velenje - Škofja Loka	33:27

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