Match Info

Baltic League

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Šviesa		Viljandi

	1	X	2
	1.04	21.00	16.00
	1.04	21.00	14.00
	1.08	15	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.05 ↓ (1.08)	19 ↑ (15)	13.33 ↑ (10)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Šviesa
88.1%

Draw
4.9%

Viljandi
7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

84.7%

6.1%

9.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Šviesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Viljandi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Šviesa - Viljandi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:25

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Šviesa won 3.

Šviesa has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Viljandi is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Viljandi could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.

Šviesa holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Šviesa has recorded 9 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 372:335 (averaging 28.6:25.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Šviesa against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 213:172 goals (averaging 30.4:24.6 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VHC Šviesa
Lietuvos Lyga Handball
07.10.26	Šviesa - Varsa Alytus	34:27
03.10.26	Pieno Zvaigzdes - Šviesa	28:33
Baltic League Handball
27.09.26	Šviesa - Mistra	33:20 ✺
26.09.26	Šviesa - Riihimäki Cocks	28:31 ✺
Lietuvos Lyga Handball
23.09.26	Šviesa - Ūla Varėna	35:20
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWLW
- Viljandi HC
Baltic League Handball
27.09.26	Viljandi - Dobeles Tenax	31:26
26.09.26	Viljandi - ASK MSG	25:24
Estonian Meistriliiga Handball
23.09.26	Viljandi - Kehra	31:29
16.09.26	Viimsi - Viljandi	29:33
09.09.26	Viljandi - Tapa	23:20
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Baltic League Handball
20.12.25	Viljandi - Šviesa	24:37
21.12.24	Viljandi - Šviesa	32:26
13.10.24	Šviesa - Viljandi	33:30
03.03.24	Viljandi - Šviesa	34:18
12.11.23	Šviesa - Viljandi	32:26
18.12.21	Šviesa - Viljandi	32:27
14.11.21	Viljandi - Šviesa	27:22

Šviesa - Viljandi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide