Match Info

Lietuvos Lyga

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday


	Šviesa		Vilnius

	1	X	2
	1.12	12.43	7.75	Watch
	1.13	12	7
	1.12	12	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 (1.12)	12.14 ↑ (12)	7.14 ↑ (6.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Šviesa
80%

Draw
7.4%

Vilnius
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.3%

7.4%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Šviesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Vilnius has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Šviesa - Vilnius Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:27

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Šviesa won 4.

In recent matches, Šviesa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vilnius may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Šviesa has had a series of home games.

In this match, Šviesa is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Šviesa won 18 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 646:558. (average 32.3:27.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Šviesa won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 368:300. (average 33.5:27.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Sviesa	4	4	0	0	130:98	8
6	Vilnius	3	0	0	3	86:104	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VHC Šviesa
Lietuvos Lyga Handball
25.01.26	Šviesa - Granitas Kaunas	31:27
24.01.26	Šviesa - Klaipeda Dragunas	26:27 ✺
Baltic League Handball
18.01.26	Šviesa - ASK MSG	33:27 ✺
17.01.26	Šviesa - Dobeles Tenax	32:30 ✺
21.12.25	Pölva Serviti - Šviesa	34:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLWWL
- HC Vilnius
Lietuvos Lyga Handball
24.01.26	Varsa Alytus - Vilnius	27:24 ✺
17.12.25	Granitas Kaunas - Vilnius	30:33 ✺
13.12.25	Ūla Varėna - Vilnius	26:28 ✺
12.11.25	Šviesa - Vilnius	30:27 ✺
17.09.25	Vilnius - Pieno Zvaigzdes	28:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos Lyga Handball
12.11.25	Šviesa - Vilnius	30:27
16.04.25	Vilnius - Šviesa	27:28
09.04.25	Šviesa - Vilnius	36:30
19.03.25	Šviesa - Vilnius	37:25
09.10.24	Vilnius - Šviesa	35:31
06.03.24	Vilnius - Šviesa	30:33
14.12.23	Šviesa - Vilnius	36:31

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