Match Info

Lietuvos Lyga - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Varsa Alytus		Šviesa

	1	X	2
	3.56	8.07	1.44	Watch
	2.73	8.5	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.79)	8.29 ↑ (8.18)	1.53 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varsa Alytus
29.1%

Draw
11.1%

Šviesa
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

11.1%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varsa Alytus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Šviesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Varsa Alytus - Šviesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:30

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Preview

Sviesa leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alytus won 0.

Šviesa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Šviesa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Šviesa will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alytus won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 544:617. (average 27.2:30.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Alytus won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 236:250. (average 29.5:31.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Sviesa	4	4	0	0	130:98	8
5	Alytaus	4	1	0	3	115:135	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RK Varsa Alytus
Lietuvos Lyga Handball
01.05.26	Šviesa - Varsa Alytus	33:23 ✺
25.03.26	Varsa Alytus - Vilnius	33:31 ✺
07.03.26	Ūla Varėna - Varsa Alytus	26:33 ✺
28.02.26	Varsa Alytus - Klaipeda Dragunas	29:27 ✺
11.02.26	Varsa Alytus - Šviesa	29:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWWWL
- VHC Šviesa
Lietuvos Lyga Handball
01.05.26	Šviesa - Varsa Alytus	33:23 ✺
22.04.26	Ūla Varėna - Šviesa	26:36
15.04.26	Šviesa - Ūla Varėna	40:35 ✺
Baltic League Handball
12.04.26	Mistra - Šviesa	27:28 ✺
11.04.26	Pölva Serviti - Šviesa	31:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos Lyga Handball
01.05.26	Šviesa - Varsa Alytus	33:23
11.02.26	Varsa Alytus - Šviesa	29:34
17.12.25	Šviesa - Varsa Alytus	27:24
17.09.25	Varsa Alytus - Šviesa	23:24
11.12.24	Šviesa - Varsa Alytus	37:32
02.10.24	Varsa Alytus - Šviesa	39:25
20.03.24	Šviesa - Varsa Alytus	33:22

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