Match Info

Andebol 1 - Placement Group - Round 1

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	ABC Braga		Belenenses

	1	X	2
	1.36	8.4	4.1
	1.36	8.24	4.1	Watch
	1.36	9	3.75
	1.4	9.8	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.39)	8.86 ↑ (7.72)	3.92 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ABC Braga
66.5%

Draw
10.3%

Belenenses
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

11.6%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

11.8%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ABC Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ABC Braga than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ABC Braga - Belenenses Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:29

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ABC Braga won 4.

In recent matches, ABC Braga has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Belenenses has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, ABC Braga is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, ABC Braga won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 567:562. (average 28.4:28.1).

Including home matches between the teams, ABC Braga won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 304:278. (average 30.4:27.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
8	ABC Braga	7	3	0	4	206:234	13
9	Belenenses	7	2	0	5	186:220	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABC Braga
Portuguese Andebol 1
07.03.26	Arsenal Andebol - ABC Braga	28:42 ✺
28.02.26	ABC Braga - Benfica	30:35 ✺
20.02.26	Marítimo - ABC Braga	30:27 ✺
14.02.26	ABC Braga - Águas Santas	27:30 ✺
11.02.26	Vitoria Guimarães - ABC Braga	24:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLLW
- Belenenses Handball
Portuguese Andebol 1
07.03.26	Marítimo - Belenenses	28:24 ✺
28.02.26	Belenenses - Águas Santas	21:33 ✺
21.02.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Belenenses	28:22 ✺
14.02.26	Belenenses - Avanca	37:27 ✺
11.02.26	Póvoa - Belenenses	24:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Andebol 1
29.11.25	ABC Braga - Belenenses	32:31
13.09.25	Belenenses - ABC Braga	29:28
24.05.25	ABC Braga - Belenenses	35:30
05.04.25	Belenenses - ABC Braga	31:33
14.12.24	ABC Braga - Belenenses	34:29
02.10.24	Belenenses - ABC Braga	32:32
02.12.23	ABC Braga - Belenenses	30:25

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