Match Info

Andebol 1 - Placement Group - Round 3

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Póvoa		Belenenses

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.66	8.2	2.65
	1.66	7.54	2.74
	1.62	8	2.63
	1.7	8.8	2.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.5)	8.14 ↓ (8.17)	2.66 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Póvoa
54.7%

Draw
11.2%

Belenenses
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

11.1%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Póvoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Póvoa's form might have worsened.

Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Belenenses's recent form is better than expected.

Póvoa - Belenenses Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:27

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Póvoa won 2.

Recent performances by Póvoa have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Póvoa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Póvoa won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 419:449. (average 26.2:28.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Póvoa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 220:225. (average 27.5:28.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
4	Povoa	8	5	0	3	250:243	18
9	Belenenses	7	2	0	5	186:220	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Póvoa Andebol
Portuguese Andebol 1
11.04.26	ABC Braga - Póvoa	27:31 ✺
Taca de Portugal Handball
02.04.26	Benfica - Póvoa	35:34 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
28.03.26	Póvoa - Marítimo	31:32 ✺
07.03.26	Avanca - Póvoa	23:27 ✺
28.02.26	Póvoa - Arsenal Andebol	31:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLWW
- Belenenses Handball
Portuguese Andebol 1
11.04.26	Belenenses - Marítimo	26:28 ✺
28.03.26	ABC Braga - Belenenses	31:31 ✺
07.03.26	Marítimo - Belenenses	28:24 ✺
28.02.26	Belenenses - Águas Santas	21:33 ✺
21.02.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Belenenses	28:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Andebol 1
11.02.26	Póvoa - Belenenses	24:24
11.10.25	Belenenses - Póvoa	27:30
16.11.24	Póvoa - Belenenses	31:27
01.09.24	Belenenses - Póvoa	27:23
18.05.24	Póvoa - Belenenses	30:32
20.04.24	Belenenses - Póvoa	29:23
24.02.24	Póvoa - Belenenses	26:31

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