Match Info

PORTUGAL: Andebol 1 - Round 8

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday


	ABC Braga		Madeira

	1	X	2
	1.5	9	3.1
	1.58	9.06	3.01	Watch
	1.61	8.66	2.84
	1.55	8.5	2.9
	1.59	8	3
	1.58	9.06	3.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.54)	8.71 ↑ (8.5)	2.98 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ABC Braga
58.6%

Draw
10.5%

Madeira
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

10.7%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

12%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ABC Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Madeira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABC Braga than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ABC Braga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madeira than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ABC Braga - Madeira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:27

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches ABC Braga won 3.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

ABC Braga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Madeira have a series of home games.

In this match ABC Braga is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches ABC Braga won 11 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 555:526 (average 27.8:26.3).

Including matches at home between the teams ABC Braga won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 283:256 (average 28.3:25.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABC Braga
Portuguese Andebol 1
05.10.24	ABC Braga - Sporting Lisbon	23:35 ✺
02.10.24	Belenenses - ABC Braga	32:32 ✺
28.09.24	ABC Braga - Avanca	33:27 ✺
25.09.24	Póvoa - ABC Braga	26:31 ✺
21.09.24	Águas Santas - ABC Braga	22:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTWWW
- Madeira Andebol SAD
Portuguese Andebol 1
05.10.24	Madeira - Belenenses	33:27 ✺
28.09.24	Madeira - Águas Santas	31:26 ✺
21.09.24	Nazaré - Madeira	24:33 ✺
15.09.24	Madeira - Póvoa	28:24 ✺
11.09.24	Madeira - Benfica	24:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Andebol 1
18.11.23	ABC Braga - Madeira	25:25
06.09.23	Madeira - ABC Braga	31:34
27.05.23	ABC Braga - Madeira	33:30
11.12.22	Madeira - ABC Braga	34:35
01.05.22	Madeira - ABC Braga	32:30
20.11.21	ABC Braga - Madeira	33:25
22.05.21	Madeira - ABC Braga	29:25

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