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Current Win Probability
Belenenses 26.8%
Draw 10.1%
ABC Braga 63.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
22.2%
9.7%
68.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.2%
10.6%
65.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ABC Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABC Braga than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Belenenses - ABC Braga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:32
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belenenses won 2.
Belenenses has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
ABC Braga has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Belenenses could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
ABC Braga carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Belenenses has recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 585:574 (averaging 29.3:28.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Belenenses against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 294:264 goals (averaging 29.4:26.4 per game).