Match Info

Champions League

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Gigantium (Aalborg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV3 MAX
Finland	Viaplay
France	Eurosport 2
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3


	Aalborg		HBC Nantes

	1	X	2
	1.3	10	5	Watch
	1.37	10	3.75	Watch
	1.39	8.86	3.77	Watch
	1.39	12.5	4.17	Watch
	1.36	9.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.44)	10.17 ↑ (9.25)	4.24 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalborg
68.7%

Draw
9.2%

HBC Nantes
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

10.2%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

11.1%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

HBC Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalborg than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aalborg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HBC Nantes than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Aalborg - HBC Nantes Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aalborg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Aalborg will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:29

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Lineups


9. Anderson P.	18. Abdi A.
22. Antonsen R.	9. Avelange T.
19. Bjornsen K.	16. Biosca I.
17. Blonz A.	13. Bos J.
14. Hangaard M.	15. Gaber M.
1. Jacobsen N.	23. Gohier E.
11. Jensen S.	2. Lagarde R.
23. Juul B.	4. Minne A.
21. Knorr J.	17. Noam L.
20. Moller F.	8. Nyateu O.
25. Munk M.	10. Ovnicek R.
3. Nilsson L.	12. Rambaud S.
12. Norsten F.	7. Rivera V.
8. Ronningen V.	6. Tarrafeta I.
5. Sagosen S.	11. Tournat N.
6. Smit A.	5. Yoshida S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aalborg won 2.

Aalborg is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nantes is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Nantes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Aalborg is the team to beat.

We predict that Aalborg will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Aalborg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 216:219. (average 30.9:31.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Aalborg won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 102:90. (average 34:30).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalborg Håndbold
Danish Handbold Ligaen
22.11.25	Ringsted - Aalborg	22:35 ✺
EHF Champions League
19.11.25	Aalborg - Vive Kielce	34:27 ✺
Danish Handbold Ligaen
16.11.25	Aalborg - Bjerringbro SV	35:29 ✺
EHF Champions League
13.11.25	Vive Kielce - Aalborg	32:32 ✺
Danish Handbold Ligaen
08.11.25	Mors-Thy - Aalborg	27:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWTW
- HBC Nantes
French Starligue Handball
23.11.25	HBC Nantes - Pays dAix	34:28 ✺
EHF Champions League
20.11.25	Dinamo Bucureşti - HBC Nantes	29:28 ✺
French Starligue Handball
16.11.25	HBC Nantes - Chartres	40:27 ✺
EHF Champions League
13.11.25	HBC Nantes - Dinamo Bucureşti	35:28 ✺
French Starligue Handball
09.11.25	Limoges - HBC Nantes	35:40 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
22.10.25	HBC Nantes - Aalborg	27:28
05.03.25	HBC Nantes - Aalborg	29:29
11.09.24	Aalborg - HBC Nantes	38:31
01.12.22	HBC Nantes - Aalborg	35:28
23.11.22	Aalborg - HBC Nantes	32:35
10.02.21	HBC Nantes - Aalborg	38:29
14.10.20	Aalborg - HBC Nantes	32:24

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