Match Info

Champions League

Date: 13 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Hala Legionów (Kielce)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Eurosport 1
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Sport 1
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Eurosport 1
Romania	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport PPV 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium


	Vive Kielce		Aalborg

	1	X	2
	3.8	9.5	1.42	Watch
	3.1	9.6	1.49	Watch
	2.39	7.97	1.82	Watch
	3.3	10.3	1.56	Watch
	3.15	8.6	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.39)	9.19 ↑ (7.97)	1.57 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vive Kielce
29.9%

Draw
10.2%

Aalborg
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

11.5%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

11.4%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vive Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vive Kielce's form might have worsened.

Aalborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aalborg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vive Kielce than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vive Kielce, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalborg than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aalborg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Vive Kielce - Aalborg Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Kielce will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Aalborg will win (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kielce: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Aalborg (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Aalborg (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5, 1st Half - Aalborg (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3.5, OT - Kielce (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vive Kielce will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Kielce (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Aalborg (votes: 6 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:34

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Lineups


16. Cordalija B.	9. Anderson P.
10. Dujshebaev A.	7. Arnoldsen T.
24. Dujshebaev D.	19. Bjornsen K.
22. Ferlin K.	17. Blonz A.
50. Karalek A.	14. Hangaard M.
11. Kounkoud B.	1. Jacobsen N.
44. Latosinski M.	11. Jensen S.
15. Maqueda J.	23. Juul B.
97. Monar T.	21. Knorr J.
1. Morawski A.	20. Moller F.
99. Nahi D.	25. Munk M.
5. Olejniczak M.	3. Nilsson L.
93. Rogulski L.	12. Norsten F.
9. Sicko S.	8. Ronningen V.
88. Vlah A.	5. Sagosen S.
	6. Smit A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kielce won 1.

Recent performances by Kielce have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Aalborg is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kielce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aalborg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Aalborg will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kielce won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 305:302. (average 30.5:30.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kielce won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 153:150. (average 30.6:30).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Vive Kielce
Polish Superliga Handball
08.11.25	Chrobry Głogów - Vive Kielce	23:37 ✺
25.10.25	Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski - Vive Kielce	24:38 ✺
EHF Champions League
23.10.25	Dinamo Bucureşti - Vive Kielce	24:28 ✺
Polish Superliga Handball
19.10.25	Vive Kielce - Wisła Płock	27:32 ✺
EHF Champions League
15.10.25	Vive Kielce - HBC Nantes	27:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWLL
- Aalborg Håndbold
Danish Handbold Ligaen
08.11.25	Mors-Thy - Aalborg	27:33 ✺
05.11.25	Aalborg - Ribe-Esbjerg	39:26 ✺
25.10.25	HØJ - Aalborg	28:32 ✺
EHF Champions League
22.10.25	HBC Nantes - Aalborg	27:28 ✺
Danish Handbold Ligaen
18.10.25	Aalborg - Fredericia	38:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
27.11.24	Aalborg - Vive Kielce	34:26
23.10.24	Vive Kielce - Aalborg	28:35
06.03.24	Aalborg - Vive Kielce	35:35
13.09.23	Vive Kielce - Aalborg	31:34
15.02.23	Vive Kielce - Aalborg	33:28
28.09.22	Aalborg - Vive Kielce	28:30
18.11.17	Vive Kielce - Aalborg	28:27

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