Match Info

Date: 23 November 2020, Monday


	Aarhus		Sønderjysk Elite

	1	X	2
	1.9	8	2.35
	1.83	8	2.45
	1.88	8.5	2.38
	1.85	8.4	2.38
	1.91	7.5	2.25
	1.87	8.6	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.1)	8.17 ↑ (8)	2.37 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aarhus
49.5%

Draw
11.4%

Sønderjysk Elite
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

11.6%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

10.8%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aarhus's performance.

Sønderjysk Elite has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sønderjysk Elite might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarhus than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aarhus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sønderjysk Elite than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sønderjysk Elite could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	9.1%	36.4%

Aarhus - Sønderjysk Elite Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Aarhus will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Sønderjysk Elite will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aarhus: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:29

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Aarhus won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 321-328.

Including matches at home between the teams Aarhus won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 159-161.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aarhus Handbold
Danish Handbold Ligaen
19.11.20	Aarhus - Skanderborg	28:21 ✺
13.11.20	Mors-Thy - Aarhus	28:36 ✺
28.10.20	Aarhus - Ribe-Esbjerg	25:30 ✺
24.10.20	Aalborg - Aarhus	40:31 ✺
19.10.20	Aarhus - KIF Kolding	33:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLLW
- Sønderjysk Elite
Danish Handbold Ligaen
19.11.20	Skjern - Sønderjysk Elite	22:26 ✺
14.11.20	Sønderjysk Elite - Bjerringbro SV	32:24 ✺
31.10.20	GOG - Sønderjysk Elite	35:27 ✺
22.10.20	Sønderjysk Elite - Fredericia	28:32 ✺
20.10.20	Skanderborg - Sønderjysk Elite	32:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish Handbold Ligaen
07.02.20	Sønderjysk Elite - Aarhus	35:25
30.09.19	Aarhus - Sønderjysk Elite	25:28
09.12.18	Sønderjysk Elite - Aarhus	27:28
11.09.18	Aarhus - Sønderjysk Elite	27:26
16.12.17	Aarhus - Sønderjysk Elite	33:29
17.09.17	Sønderjysk Elite - Aarhus	27:31
Danish Cup Handball
27.08.17	Sønderjysk Elite - Aarhus	20:26

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