Match Info

Date: 13 November 2020, Friday


	Mors-Thy		Aarhus

	1	X	2
	1.37	9.5	4.25
	1.35	12	3.9
	1.43	10	3.7
	1.35	11	4.1
	1.33	9.5	4
	1.33	9.3	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.38)	10.22 ↑ (9.67)	4.13 ↓ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mors-Thy
68.4%

Draw
9.1%

Aarhus
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

9.7%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

9.3%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mors-Thy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mors-Thy than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarhus than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Mors Thy - Aarhus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:28

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Mors could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mors is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Mors won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 281-292.

Including matches at home between the teams Mors won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 170-163.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mors-Thy Handbold
Danish Cup Handball
11.11.20	Mors-Thy - Tvis Holstebro	35:31 ✺
Danish Handbold Ligaen
30.10.20	Bjerringbro SV - Mors-Thy	32:31 ✺
23.10.20	Mors-Thy - GOG	23:32 ✺
18.10.20	Fredericia - Mors-Thy	29:31 ✺
10.10.20	Mors-Thy - Skanderborg	28:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLWT
- Aarhus Handbold
Danish Handbold Ligaen
28.10.20	Aarhus - Ribe-Esbjerg	25:30 ✺
24.10.20	Aalborg - Aarhus	40:31 ✺
19.10.20	Aarhus - KIF Kolding	33:24 ✺
14.10.20	Aarhus - Ringsted	29:27 ✺
09.10.20	Tvis Holstebro - Aarhus	33:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish Handbold Ligaen
03.03.20	Mors-Thy - Aarhus	38:26
07.11.19	Aarhus - Mors-Thy	24:26
23.02.19	Mors-Thy - Aarhus	30:30
20.10.18	Aarhus - Mors-Thy	26:26
27.02.18	Mors-Thy - Aarhus	28:33
21.10.17	Aarhus - Mors-Thy	27:28
22.03.17	Mors-Thy - Aarhus	25:21

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