The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aarhus 30.5%
Draw 10.1%
Tønder 59.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.7%
11.1%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.2%
10.1%
29.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-26.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aarhus's form might have worsened.
Tønder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+27.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tønder's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarhus than the current prediction. (+31.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aarhus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tønder than the current prediction. (-29.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tønder, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Aarhus - Tønder Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:30
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 4.
Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.
Tønder is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Our forecast points to a victory for Tønder in today's match, at odds of 1.72.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Aarhus has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 247:208 (averaging 30.9:26 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Aarhus against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 128:98 goals (averaging 32:24.5 per game).
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